TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
XOM Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 04:25 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
XOM (ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation) at $165.84. True Sentiment Balanced, delta 40-60 call 51% / put 49%, call $2,682,600 vs put $2,556,379. RSI 51.5.
- Symbol
- XOM
- Price
- $165.84
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 16:25:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Balanced
Call dollar volume: $2,682,600
Put dollar volume: $2,556,379
The options flow suggests a balanced sentiment, with a slight bias towards calls.
Key Statistics: XOM
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 21.27 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 5.25 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $7.77 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 12.68% |
| Net Margin | 9.15% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $368.76B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for XOM include:
- ExxonMobil (XOM) announces a new oil discovery in the Permian Basin, potentially increasing production.
- The company is investing in renewable energy projects to diversify its portfolio.
- XOM reports a significant increase in quarterly earnings due to higher oil prices.
These headlines suggest that XOM is actively expanding its operations, investing in new energy sources, and experiencing increased earnings. This could positively impact the stock price.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Total Revenue: $368.76 billion
- Trailing EPS: $7.77
- Trailing P/E: 21.27
- Debt/Equity: 0.75
- Return on Equity (ROE): 12.68%
- Operating Margins: 12.30%
- Profit Margins: 9.15%
The fundamentals indicate that XOM has a strong revenue base, with a reasonable P/E ratio and healthy profit margins. However, the debt/equity ratio is relatively high.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $165.99
Recent price action shows an uptrend, with the stock reaching $167.09 on September 11.
Key support levels: $155.17 (50-day SMA), $149.09 (recent low)
Key resistance levels: $170.00, $175.00
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
SMA trends:
- 5-day SMA: $163.12
- 20-day SMA: $162.33
- 50-day SMA: $155.17
The technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, with the RSI above 50, MACD positive, and the stock price above the 50-day SMA.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Balanced
Call dollar volume: $2,682,600
Put dollar volume: $2,556,379
The options flow suggests a balanced sentiment, with a slight bias towards calls.
Key Price Levels:
Support and resistance levels are observed from the data.
25-Day Price Forecast:
XOM is projected for $168.00 to $172.50
Based on current trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock price may reach $168.00 to $172.50 in 25 days.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, consider the following strategies:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy XOM 261016C00165000 (165.0) and Sell XOM 261016C00170000 (170.0)
- Iron Condor: Buy XOM 261016P00160000 (160.0) and Sell XOM 261016P00165000 (165.0), Buy XOM 261016C00170000 (170.0) and Sell XOM 261016C00175000 (175.0)
- Bull Put Spread: Buy XOM 261016P00165000 (165.0) and Sell XOM 261016P00160000 (160.0)
These strategies align with the projected price range and offer defined risk.
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: RSI divergence, MACD bearish crossover
- Sentiment divergences: sudden shift in options flow sentiment
- Volatility: increase in ATR could impact strategy performance
Monitor these risk factors to adjust the strategy as needed.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: XOM may continue its uptrend, targeting $170.00.
View XOM Options Chain