TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
XOM Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 03:45 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
XOM (ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation) at $165.84. True Sentiment Balanced, delta 40-60 call 55% / put 45%, call $2,945,780 vs put $2,423,535. RSI 51.3.
- Symbol
- XOM
- Price
- $165.84
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 15:45:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Options flow sentiment is balanced, with a call dollar volume of $2,945,780 and a put dollar volume of $2,423,535. This suggests that investors are currently neutral on XOM's near-term prospects.
Key Statistics: XOM
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 21.27 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 5.25 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $7.77 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 12.68% |
| Net Margin | 9.15% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $368.76B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for XOM include:
- ExxonMobil (XOM) announces a new oil discovery in the Permian Basin, potentially increasing production.
- XOM reports a stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings report, beating analyst estimates.
- The company announces plans to increase its share buyback program, signaling confidence in its financials.
These headlines could impact XOM's stock price by increasing investor confidence, driving up demand, and potentially leading to a short-term price surge.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Revenue: $368.76 billion
- Trailing EPS: $7.77
- Trailing P/E: 21.27
- Debt/Equity: 0.75
- ROE: 12.68%
XOM's fundamentals indicate a stable company with a strong revenue base and reasonable valuation. The debt-to-equity ratio suggests moderate leverage, while the ROE indicates efficient use of shareholder capital.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $165.83
Recent price action shows XOM trading near its 50-day SMA, with intraday momentum indicating a slightly bullish trend.
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
SMA trends indicate a bullish alignment, with the 5-day SMA above the 20-day SMA. The RSI suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD indicates a bullish signal.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Options flow sentiment is balanced, with a call dollar volume of $2,945,780 and a put dollar volume of $2,423,535. This suggests that investors are currently neutral on XOM's near-term prospects.
Key Price Levels (observational only):
Key support levels at $155.00 and resistance at $170.00. A break above resistance could lead to further upside, while a drop below support may indicate a short-term downtrend.
25-Day Price Forecast:
XOM is projected for $167.50 to $173.20. This range is based on current SMA trends, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR).
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the projected price range, consider the following defined risk strategies:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy XOM 261016C00165000 at $6.60, Sell XOM 261016C00170000 at $4.25. Risk/Reward: 1:2.5
- Iron Condor: Sell XOM 261016C00160000 at $9.20, Buy XOM 261016C00155000 at $12.75, Sell XOM 261016P00160000 at $3.20, Buy XOM 261016P00165000 at $5.15. Risk/Reward: 1:3
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: RSI divergence, MACD bearish crossover
- Sentiment divergences: unexpected changes in options flow
- Volatility: increased ATR could impact strategy performance
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish. Conviction level: Medium. Trade idea: XOM is poised for a short-term price increase based on technical and sentiment analysis.
View XOM Options Chain