WOLF Trading Analysis - 10/15/2026 03:01 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

WOLF (Wolfspeed Inc.) at $25.27. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 30% / put 70%, call $227,582 vs put $536,227. RSI 45.6.

TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral

WOLF Trading Analysis - 10/15/2026 03:01 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart

WOLF (Wolfspeed Inc.) at $25.27. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 30% / put 70%, call $227,582 vs put $536,227. RSI 45.6.

Symbol
WOLF
Price
$25.27
Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
bearish
Conviction
medium
Published
2026-10-15 15:01:00 ET
Author
DeltaNeutral staff

TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)

From WOLF_options_20261015_1500.json (Delta 40-60 only):

Call Volume: $227,582.00 (29.80%) Put Volume: $536,227.00 (70.20%) Total: $763,809.00

Put contracts 5,968 vs call 788. Sentiment: Bearish. Pure directional conviction is heavily put-sided. Divergence: Option spread engine flagged "Divergence detected between technical indicators and options sentiment" — technicals showing no clear direction, sentiment bearish. Near-term expectation: downside pressure.

Note: True Sentiment filter ratio only 4.7% of total options analyzed — small sample, but strongly put-weighted.

Key Statistics: WOLF

$25.29 +4.25%
52-Week Range
$13.48 - $80.82
Market Cap
$1.34B
P/E (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
Beta
11.88
Next Earnings
N/A
Avg Volume
$3.53M
Dividend Yield
0.00%

Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

EPS (trailing 12 mo)$-11.39
Market cap$1.34B
Shares outstanding52.9M

Dividend

Dividend yield0.00%

Risk & range

Beta11.88
52-week low$13.48
52-week high$80.82
Historical volatility93.0%

Ownership & trading

Institutional ownership38.5%
Average daily volume4.5M sh

Reported figures; no analyst estimates.

📈 Analysis

News Headlines & Context

Using general knowledge for context only — not derived from embedded data:

  • WOLF (Wolfspeed) has faced ongoing semiconductor sector headwinds, with memory of 2024–2025 SiC demand softness and DOE loan timing uncertainty weighing on sentiment.
  • Recent quarters showed negative EPS with cash burn concerns; potential capital raise or covenant news often acts as a catalyst for sharp moves.
  • Short interest in WOLF has historically been elevated, creating conditions for high beta and volatile rallies or dumps on sentiment shifts.
  • No confirmed near-term earnings date in provided data, but fiscal year end was 2026-06-01 per fundamentals, suggesting next report could be within ~8 weeks of Oct 2026.
  • Headline context: Negative fundamental narrative aligns with embedded bearish options sentiment, while extreme beta (11.88) explains wide daily ranges seen in minute/daily data.

Fundamental Analysis

Based strictly on embedded FUNDAMENTALS (WOLF_fundamentals_20261015_1500.json):

MetricValue
Trailing EPS-11.39
Trailing P/Enull (not available)
Forward P/Enull
PEG Rationull
Market Cap$1,338,624,990.00
Shares Out52,931,000.00
Beta11.88
52W High / Low$80.82 / $13.49
Institutional %38.51%
Avg Volume4,477,000.00
Hist Volatility92.96%
Dividend Yield0.00%
Debt/Equity, ROE, FCF, Marginsnull (not provided)
Analyst Target / Recnull (no consensus data)

Key concerns: Negative earnings per share (-11.39) with no positive P/E or PEG to gauge valuation. Extremely high beta (11.88) and historical volatility (92.96%) signal speculative, high-risk profile. Low institutional ownership (38.51%) suggests limited steady support. Fundamentals diverge from any bullish technical read — they reinforce the bearish options sentiment embedded below.

Current Market Position

From DAILY and MINUTE data: Current price per indicators is $24.26 (2026-10-14 close). Minute bars show 2026-10-15 14:30 close at $25.27, with intraday range $25.19–$25.46 in final bars. Daily 2026-10-14 ranged $23.91–$27.39 on volume 4,557,087 (above 20d avg 3,524,981). Recent price action: peaked $36.49 on 2026-10-02, fell to $23.91 low on 2026-10-14. Intraday momentum on 10-15 is flat-to-slightly-up from $25.19 to $25.27.

Support (daily low 10-14)
$23.91
Resistance (daily high 10-14)
$27.39
Bollinger Lower
$22.96
SMA 50
$28.14

Technical Analysis

Technical Indicators

Current Price
$24.26
SMA 5
$28.36
SMA 20
$28.76
SMA 50
$28.14
RSI 14
45.56
MACD
0.36 / Sig 0.29 / Hist 0.07
Boll Mid / Up / Low
$28.76 / $34.56 / $22.96
ATR 14
3.10
30d High / Low
$36.49 / $23.07

Price is below all SMAs (bearish alignment, no bullish crossover). RSI 45.56 shows weak momentum, not oversold. MACD histogram positive (0.07) but price below mid-Bollinger = no confirmation. Bollinger lower $22.96 is near 30d low $23.07. Price sits in lower 11% of 30-day range. Technicals: Bearish bias, no clear reversal.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)

From WOLF_options_20261015_1500.json (Delta 40-60 only):

Call Volume: $227,582.00 (29.80%) Put Volume: $536,227.00 (70.20%) Total: $763,809.00

Put contracts 5,968 vs call 788. Sentiment: Bearish. Pure directional conviction is heavily put-sided. Divergence: Option spread engine flagged "Divergence detected between technical indicators and options sentiment" — technicals showing no clear direction, sentiment bearish. Near-term expectation: downside pressure.

Note: True Sentiment filter ratio only 4.7% of total options analyzed — small sample, but strongly put-weighted.

Key Price Levels (Observational Only)

Obs Support 1
$23.91
Obs Support 2 (Boll Low)
$22.96
Obs Resist 1
$27.39
Obs Resist 2 (SMA50)
$28.14

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