VST Trading Analysis - 09/10/2026 04:19 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

VST (Vistra Corp.) at $147.20. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 80% / put 20%, call $5,701,585 vs put $1,391,720. RSI 63.6.

TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral

VST Trading Analysis - 09/10/2026 04:19 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart

VST (Vistra Corp.) at $147.20. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 80% / put 20%, call $5,701,585 vs put $1,391,720. RSI 63.6.

Symbol
VST
Price
$147.20
Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
neutral
Conviction
medium
Published
2026-09-10 16:19:00 ET
Author
DeltaNeutral staff

TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish

Call vs Put dollar volume:

  • Call dollar volume: $5,701,585
  • Put dollar volume: $1,391,720

The pure directional positioning suggests that traders are bullish on VST in the near term.

Key Statistics: VST

$151.10 +0.00%
52-Week Range
$132.66 - $219.82
Market Cap
$154.95B
P/E (TTM)
25.52
PEG Ratio
N/A
Beta
N/A
Next Earnings
N/A
Avg Volume
$4.79M
Dividend Yield
N/A

Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

P/E (Trailing)25.52
P/E (Forward)N/A
PEG RatioN/A
Price/Book28.20

Profitability

EPS (Trailing)$5.92
EPS (Forward)N/A
ROE40.39%
Net Margin11.55%

Financial Health

Revenue (TTM)$19.21B
Debt/Equity3.57
Free Cash FlowN/A
Rev GrowthN/A

Analyst Consensus

None
Target: $N/A
Based on None Analysts

📈 Analysis

News Headlines & Context:

Recent news headlines for VST include:

  • VST announced a new partnership with a leading renewable energy company to develop a 500 MW solar project.
  • The company reported a significant increase in quarterly earnings, beating analyst expectations.
  • VST's CEO stated that the company is committed to achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.

These headlines suggest a positive outlook for VST, with a focus on renewable energy and strong financial performance. However, the impact of these headlines on the stock price is not explicitly clear and may be reflected in the technical and sentiment data.

Fundamental Analysis:

Based on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data:

  • Revenue: $19,212,000,000
  • Trailing EPS: $5.92
  • Trailing P/E: 25.52
  • Debt/Equity: 3.57
  • Return on Equity (ROE): 40.39%

VST's fundamentals indicate a strong revenue base and high profitability, with a trailing EPS of $5.92 and a ROE of 40.39%. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.57 may be a concern for some investors. The trailing P/E ratio of 25.52 suggests that the stock may be slightly overvalued compared to its earnings growth.

Current Market Position:

Current price: $147.05

Recent price action: The stock has been trading in a range, with a recent low of $134.50 and a high of $156.99.

Intraday momentum and trends: The minute bars show a slight downtrend in the last few hours, with a current price of $147.05.

Technical Analysis:

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
63.57
MACD
-0.03
50-day SMA
$148.95

SMA trends:

  • 5-day SMA: $148.68
  • 20-day SMA: $142.65
  • 50-day SMA: $148.95

The stock is currently trading below its 50-day SMA, which could be a resistance level. The RSI is at 63.57, indicating a slightly overbought condition. The MACD is negative, suggesting a bearish signal.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish

Call vs Put dollar volume:

  • Call dollar volume: $5,701,585
  • Put dollar volume: $1,391,720

The pure directional positioning suggests that traders are bullish on VST in the near term.

Key Price Levels:

Support: $134.50

Resistance: $156.99

Entry: $140.00

Target: $150.00

Stop Loss: $130.00

25-Day Price Forecast:

VST is projected for $145.00 to $155.00

Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock price is expected to trade within this range in the next 25 days.

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the price forecast, we recommend:

  • Bull Call Spread: Buy VST 261016C00145000 (strike $145.00) and sell VST 261016C00150000 (strike $150.00)
  • Bear Put Spread: Buy VST 261016P00140000 (strike $140.00) and sell VST 261016P00145000 (strike $145.00)
  • Iron Condor: Sell VST 261016C00145000 (strike $145.00) and buy VST 261016C00140000 (strike $140.00), while selling VST 261016P00140000 (strike $140.00) and buying VST 261016P00145000 (strike $145.00)

Risk Factors:

  • Technical warning signs: Overbought RSI and bearish MACD signal
  • Sentiment divergences: Bullish options flow vs bearish technicals
  • Volatility: High ATR indicating increased price movement

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall bias: Neutral

Conviction level: Medium

One-line trade idea: VST may trade within a range, with potential for bullish breakout


View VST Options Chain
Bear Put Spread 145 140 145-140 Bear Put Spread at Expiration Stock Price at Expiration Profit Loss
Bull Call Spread 145 150 145-150 Bull Call Spread at Expiration Stock Price at Expiration Profit Loss
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or buy any securities. The data and information presented are obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Trading options and stocks involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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