USO Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 04:12 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

USO (United States Oil Fund, LP) at $154.81. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 63% / put 37%, call $22,602,180 vs put $13,116,875. RSI 72.5.

TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral

USO Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 04:12 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart

USO (United States Oil Fund, LP) at $154.81. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 63% / put 37%, call $22,602,180 vs put $13,116,875. RSI 72.5.

Symbol
USO
Price
$154.81
Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
bullish
Conviction
medium
Published
2026-09-11 16:12:00 ET
Author
DeltaNeutral staff

TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish

Call vs Put dollar volume: Calls account for 63.3% of total dollar volume, indicating bullish conviction.

Pure directional positioning suggests near-term expectations of higher prices.

Key Statistics: USO

$158.38 +0.00%
52-Week Range
$65.98 - $158.88
Market Cap
N/A
P/E (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
Beta
N/A
Next Earnings
N/A
Avg Volume
$13.04M
Dividend Yield
N/A

Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

P/E (Trailing)N/A
P/E (Forward)N/A
PEG RatioN/A
Price/BookN/A

Profitability

EPS (Trailing)N/A
EPS (Forward)N/A
ROE33.43%
Net Margin98.27%

Financial Health

Revenue (TTM)$596.62M
Debt/Equity0.09
Free Cash FlowN/A
Rev GrowthN/A

Analyst Consensus

None
Target: $N/A
Based on None Analysts

📈 Analysis

News Headlines & Context:

Recent news headlines for USO include:

  • Oil prices rose as US crude inventories fell, according to a report by the Energy Information Administration (EIA).
  • The USO ETF, which tracks the price of oil, has seen increased trading activity amid tensions in the Middle East.
  • Global oil demand is expected to increase, driven by growth in emerging markets, according to a report by the International Energy Agency (IEA).

These headlines may relate to the technical and sentiment data, as a bullish trend in oil prices could be driven by increased demand and reduced supply.

Fundamental Analysis:

Based on the provided fundamentals data:

  • Total Revenue: $596,621,312
  • Operating Margins: 98.27%
  • Profit Margins: 98.27%
  • Debt/Equity: 0.09
  • Return on Equity (ROE): 33.43%

The company's high operating and profit margins indicate strong financial performance. The low debt-to-equity ratio and high ROE suggest a healthy balance sheet and efficient use of shareholder capital.

However, the lack of revenue growth data and EPS trends makes it difficult to fully assess the company's long-term prospects.

Current Market Position:

Current price: $154.89

Recent price action: The stock has seen a bullish trend, with a 5-day SMA of $150.25 and a 20-day SMA of $137.11.

Intraday momentum: The stock is trading above its 50-day SMA of $127.62, indicating a strong uptrend.

Technical Analysis:

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
72.46
MACD
7.46
50-day SMA
$127.62

The RSI indicates overbought conditions, while the MACD shows a bullish signal. The stock is trading above its 50-day SMA, indicating a strong uptrend.

Bollinger Bands: The stock is trading near the upper band, indicating increased volatility.

ATR: The average true range is 4.70, indicating moderate volatility.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish

Call vs Put dollar volume: Calls account for 63.3% of total dollar volume, indicating bullish conviction.

Pure directional positioning suggests near-term expectations of higher prices.

Key Price Levels (observational only):

Support
$127.62
Resistance
$158.88
Entry
$154.89

25-Day Price Forecast:

USO is projected for $165.00 to $180.00

Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock is expected to continue its uptrend, driven by bullish sentiment and strong technical indicators.

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the price forecast, we recommend the following defined risk strategies:

  • Bull Call Spread: Buy USO 261016C00155000 (strike $155.00) and sell USO 261016C00165000 (strike $165.00)
  • Iron Condor: Sell USO 261016P00140000 (strike $141.00) and buy USO 261016P00150000 (strike $150.00), while selling USO 261016C00160000 (strike $160.00) and buying USO 261016C00170000 (strike $170.00)

These strategies align with the projected price range and offer a defined risk profile.

Risk Factors:

  • Technical warning signs: Overbought RSI and increased volatility
  • Sentiment divergences: None noted
  • Volatility and ATR considerations: Moderate volatility

These risk factors could impact the stock's price action and should be monitored closely.

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall bias: Bullish

Conviction level: High

One-line trade idea: Buy USO with a bullish bias, targeting $165.00 to $180.00


View USO Options Chain
Bull Call Spread 155 165 155-165 Bull Call Spread at Expiration Stock Price at Expiration Profit Loss
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or buy any securities. The data and information presented are obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Trading options and stocks involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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