TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral

USO Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 03:39 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart

USO (United States Oil Fund, LP) at $154.79. True Sentiment Balanced, delta 40-60 call 59% / put 41%, call $26,845,811 vs put $18,923,676. RSI 72.2.

Symbol: USO
Price: $154.79
Article bias (separate from True Sentiment): bullish
Conviction: medium
Published: 2026-09-11 15:39:00 ET
Author: DeltaNeutral staff

TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall options flow sentiment: Balanced

Call vs Put dollar volume: Calls ($26,845,811) vs Puts ($18,923,676), indicating a slight bullish bias.

Pure directional positioning suggests near-term expectations are neutral to bullish.

Key Statistics: USO

$158.38 +0.00%

52-Week Range

$65.98 - $158.88

Market Cap

N/A

P/E (TTM)

N/A

PEG Ratio

N/A

Beta

N/A

Next Earnings

N/A

Avg Volume

$13.04M

Dividend Yield

N/A

Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

P/E (Trailing)	N/A
P/E (Forward)	N/A
PEG Ratio	N/A
Price/Book	N/A

Profitability

EPS (Trailing)	N/A
EPS (Forward)	N/A
ROE	33.43%
Net Margin	98.27%

Financial Health

Revenue (TTM)	$596.62M
Debt/Equity	0.09
Free Cash Flow	N/A
Rev Growth	N/A

Analyst Consensus

None

Target: $N/A

Based on None Analysts

📈 Analysis

News Headlines & Context:

Recent news headlines for USO (United States Oil Fund) include:

Crude oil prices have been fluctuating due to global demand concerns and US dollar strength.
The USO ETF, which tracks oil prices, has seen increased trading activity amid market volatility.
Geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions have contributed to price movements.

These headlines may relate to the technical and sentiment data, as they could influence investor decisions and market trends.

Fundamental Analysis:

Based on the provided fundamentals data:

Total Revenue: $596,621,312
Operating Margins: 98.27%
Profit Margins: 98.27%
Debt/Equity Ratio: 0.09
Return on Equity (ROE): 33.43%
Operating Cash Flow: $831,578,389

The company's high operating and profit margins indicate strong financial performance. The low debt/equity ratio suggests a healthy balance sheet. However, the lack of EPS and P/E ratio data makes it difficult to assess valuation.

Current Market Position:

Current price: $154.71

Recent price action: The stock has seen a recent uptrend, with a 5-day SMA of $150.21 and a 20-day SMA of $137.10.

Intraday momentum: The RSI (14) is 72.17, indicating overbought conditions.

Technical Analysis:

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)

72.17

MACD

7.44

50-day SMA

$127.61

The stock is trading above its 50-day SMA, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD is positive, suggesting upward momentum.

Bollinger Bands: The stock is trading near the upper band, indicating overbought conditions.

ATR (14): 4.70, indicating moderate volatility.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall options flow sentiment: Balanced

Call vs Put dollar volume: Calls ($26,845,811) vs Puts ($18,923,676), indicating a slight bullish bias.

Pure directional positioning suggests near-term expectations are neutral to bullish.

Key Price Levels (observational only):

Support

$152.35

Resistance

$158.88

Entry

$154.71

25-Day Price Forecast:

USO is projected for $160.00 to $170.00

Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock is expected to continue its upward trend, with a potential range of $160.00 to $170.00 in the next 25 days.

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the price forecast, here are three recommended defined risk strategies:

Bull Call Spread: Buy USO 261016C00155000 ($10.40) and sell USO 261016C00160000 ($8.50) - Expiration: 2026-10-16
Iron Condor: Sell USO 261016P00145000 ($5.45) and buy USO 261016P00150000 ($7.60), sell USO 261016C00155000 ($10.40) and buy USO 261016C00160000 ($8.50) - Expiration: 2026-10-16
Protective Put: Buy USO 261016P00150000 ($7.60) - Expiration: 2026-10-16

Risk Factors:

Technical warning signs: Overbought RSI and Bollinger Bands
Sentiment divergences: Balanced options flow sentiment
Volatility: Moderate ATR (14) of 4.70

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall bias: Bullish

Conviction level: Medium

One-line trade idea: Consider a bull call spread or iron condor to capitalize on the expected upward trend.

View USO Options Chain

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or buy any securities. The data and information presented are obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Trading options and stocks involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.