TRU-SENTIMENT ยท DeltaNeutral
USO Trading Analysis - 08/20/2026 02:44 PM โ TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain ยท Stock chart ยท Baseline chart
USO (United States Oil Fund, LP) at $134.44. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 92% / put 8%, call $273,937 vs put $23,926. RSI 56.5.
- Symbol
- USO
- Price
- $134.44
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-08-20 14:44:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume: Calls ($273,936.95) vs Puts ($23,925.57), indicating a bullish bias.
Pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Statistics: USO
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | N/A |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | N/A |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | N/A |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 33.43% |
| Net Margin | 98.27% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $596.62M |
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
๐ Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines related to USO include:
- US President Trump announced severe economic sanctions on Iran, which could impact oil prices and USO.
- U.S.-Canada Trade Talks resulted in reduced tariffs on steel, aluminum, and autos, which might have a moderate effect on USO.
These headlines may relate to the technical and sentiment data as they discuss economic warfare, sanctions, and trade talks, which can influence oil prices and market sentiment.
X/Twitter Sentiment (live xAI x_search, cited only):
| User | Post | Sentiment | Time | Link |
|---|
One-sentence summary: Recent posts discuss Trump's announcement of severe economic sanctions on Iran, with mixed sentiments.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Total Revenue: $596,621,312
- Operating Margins: 98.27%
- Profit Margins: 98.27%
- Debt/Equity: 0.09
- ROE: 33.43%
- Operating Cash Flow: $831,578,389
The company's high profit margins and operating cash flow are notable strengths. However, the lack of specific EPS, P/E ratio, and analyst consensus makes it difficult to fully assess the stock's valuation.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $134.46
Recent price action: The stock has shown an upward trend, with a recent high of $135.17 and a low of $133.14.
Key support and resistance levels: Not explicitly provided, but the 50-day SMA is $120.16, which could act as support.
Intraday momentum: The last 5-minute bars show a slight increase in price.
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends:
- 5-day SMA: $130.58
- 20-day SMA: $125.82
- 50-day SMA: $120.16
The stock is above all three SMAs, indicating a bullish trend.
RSI (14): 56.48, which is neutral.
MACD: 2.30 (bullish)
Bollinger Bands: The stock is near the upper band, indicating a potential overbought condition.
30-day high/low: The stock is near the high end of its 30-day range.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume: Calls ($273,936.95) vs Puts ($23,925.57), indicating a bullish bias.
Pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Price Levels (observational only):
Support: $120.16 (50-day SMA)
Resistance: $137.38 (Bollinger Band upper limit)
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on current trends, USO is projected for $142.11 to $150.23.
Rationale: The stock's bullish trend, RSI momentum, and MACD signals suggest continued upward movement. However, the Bollinger Band upper limit and potential overbought condition may lead to a short-term pullback.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, consider the following defined risk strategies:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $135 call, sell $140 call (expiration: 2026-09-18)
- Iron Condor: Sell $135 put, buy $130 put, sell $140 call, buy $145 call (expiration: 2026-09-18)
- Protective Put: Buy $130 put (expiration: 2026-09-18)
Risk Factors:
Technical warning signs:
- Potential overbought condition
- High volatility
Sentiment divergences:
- None apparent
Volatility and ATR considerations:
- ATR (14): 4.32
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: Consider a bull call spread or iron condor to capitalize on the expected price increase.
👠 View USO Options Chain on Yahoo Finance