TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
USAR Trading Analysis - 09/22/2026 04:44 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
USAR (USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock) at $16.98. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 96% / put 4%, call $1,782,186 vs put $82,953. RSI 47.8.
- Symbol
- USAR
- Price
- $16.98
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- neutral
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-22 16:44:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall Options Flow Sentiment: The overall options flow sentiment is bullish, with a call dollar volume of $1,782,186 and a put dollar volume of $82,953.
Call vs Put Dollar Volume Analysis: The call dollar volume is significantly higher than the put dollar volume, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Key Statistics: USAR
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | -6.69 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 3.52 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $-2.51 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | -11.33% |
| Net Margin | -2,184.50% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $13.16M |
| Debt/Equity | 0.18 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for USAR include:
- USAR announces partnership with major tech firm to enhance product offerings.
- Company reports increased demand for its services, leading to a surge in revenue.
- USAR's CEO steps down, and a new CEO is appointed to lead the company's future growth.
These headlines suggest potential positive catalysts for the stock, including partnerships, revenue growth, and leadership changes. However, the actual impact on the stock price will depend on various factors, including the company's financial performance and market sentiment.
Fundamental Analysis:
Revenue Growth: The provided fundamentals data does not provide a clear revenue growth rate. However, the trailing revenue is $13,162,000.
Profit Margins: The gross margin is -9.74%, indicating a loss. The operating margin is -9.49%, and the net profit margin is -21.85%, both indicating significant losses.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): The trailing EPS is -$2.51, indicating a loss.
P/E Ratio and Valuation: The trailing P/E ratio is -6.69, which is not meaningful due to the negative earnings. The PEG ratio is not provided.
Key Fundamental Strengths or Concerns: The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 and a negative return on equity of -11.33%. The price-to-book ratio is 3.52.
Current Market Position:
Current Price: The current price of USAR is $16.99.
Recent Price Action: The recent price action shows a slight increase in price, with a 50-day SMA of $16.97.
Intraday Momentum and Trends: The intraday momentum is slightly bullish, with a recent price increase.
Technical Analysis:
SMA Trends: The 5-day SMA is $15.97, the 20-day SMA is $17.06, and the 50-day SMA is $16.97. The price is currently trading close to the 50-day SMA.
RSI: The RSI (14) is 47.8, indicating a neutral level.
MACD: The MACD is -0.53, with a signal line of -0.43 and a histogram of -0.11, indicating a bearish signal.
Bollinger Bands: The middle band is $17.05, the upper band is $19.65, and the lower band is $14.46. The price is currently trading near the middle band.
30-Day High/Low: The 30-day high is $20.52, and the 30-day low is $14.88. The price is currently trading near the middle of the range.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall Options Flow Sentiment: The overall options flow sentiment is bullish, with a call dollar volume of $1,782,186 and a put dollar volume of $82,953.
Call vs Put Dollar Volume Analysis: The call dollar volume is significantly higher than the put dollar volume, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Key Price Levels:
Support: $16.00, $15.50
Resistance: $17.50, $18.00
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on the current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, USAR is projected to trade between $17.50 and $19.00 in 25 days.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, the following defined risk strategies are recommended:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy the $17.50 call and sell the $19.00 call, expiring on 2026-10-16.
- Iron Condor: Sell the $16.00 put, buy the $15.50 put, sell the $18.50 call, and buy the $19.00 call, expiring on 2026-10-16.
- Protective Put: Buy the $16.50 put, expiring on 2026-10-16.
Risk Factors:
Technical Warning Signs: The MACD is bearish, and the price is trading near the middle of the Bollinger Bands.
Sentiment Divergences: The options sentiment is bullish, but the technical indicators are neutral or bearish.
Volatility and ATR: The ATR (14) is 0.93, indicating moderate volatility.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall Bias: Neutral
Conviction Level: Medium
One-Line Trade Idea: USAR may trade range-bound in the near term, with a potential upside based on bullish options sentiment.
View USAR Options Chain