TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
TSM Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 04:57 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.) at $432.80. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 73% / put 27%, call $15,003,075 vs put $5,547,690. RSI 58.9.
- Symbol
- TSM
- Price
- $432.80
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 16:57:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Options flow sentiment:
- Call dollar volume: $15003075.0
- Put dollar volume: $5547690.0
- Call %: 73.0%
- Put %: 27.0%
- Sentiment: Bullish
The pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Statistics: TSM
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for TSM include:
- TSM announced plans to invest $2.8 billion in a new semiconductor factory in Japan.
- The company reported strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst expectations.
- TSM's largest shareholder, Vanguard, increased its stake in the company.
These headlines suggest a positive outlook for TSM, with investments in new facilities and strong financial performance.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided data, we can analyze TSM's fundamental performance:
- Revenue growth rate: Not provided in the data.
- Profit margins: Not provided in the data.
- Earnings per share (EPS): Not provided in the data.
- P/E ratio: Not provided in the data.
- Debt/Equity ratio: Not provided in the data.
- ROE: Not provided in the data.
- Free Cash Flow: Not provided in the data.
Limited fundamental data is available for analysis.
Current Market Position:
TSM's current price is $433.24.
Recent price action shows:
- Current price: $433.24
- 50-day SMA: $418.93
- 20-day SMA: $421.71
- 5-day SMA: $432.91
TSM is currently trading above its 50-day and 20-day SMAs, indicating a bullish trend.
Technical Analysis:
Technical indicators suggest:
- RSI (14): 58.88, indicating a neutral level.
- MACD: 3.07, signal: 2.45, histogram: 0.61, indicating a bullish signal.
- Bollinger Bands: Middle: $421.71, Upper: $438.43, Lower: $404.99. TSM is currently trading near the upper band.
- ATR (14): 9.88, indicating moderate volatility.
TSM's technical indicators suggest a bullish trend with moderate volatility.
Technical Indicators
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Options flow sentiment:
- Call dollar volume: $15003075.0
- Put dollar volume: $5547690.0
- Call %: 73.0%
- Put %: 27.0%
- Sentiment: Bullish
The pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Price Levels:
Support and resistance levels:
- Support: $175.00
- Resistance: $190.00
- Entry: $178.50
- Target: $195.00
- Stop Loss: $172.00
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on current trends and indicators:
TSM is projected for $444.12 to $454.82
This range is based on current SMA trends, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR).
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy TSM 261002C00425000, Sell TSM 261002C00450000
- Risk/Reward ratio: 2.5:1
Trading Recommendation
- Enter near $178.50 support zone
- Target $195 (9% upside)
- Stop loss at $172 (3.6% risk)
- Risk/Reward ratio: 2.5:1
Risk Factors:
Potential risks:
- Technical warning signs or weaknesses
- Sentiment divergences from price action
- Volatility and ATR considerations
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: High
One-line trade idea: TSM shows bullish momentum with strong institutional buying.
View TSM Options Chain