TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
TSM Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 02:57 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.) at $433.26. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 69% / put 31%, call $11,316,930 vs put $5,187,625. RSI 58.9.
- Symbol
- TSM
- Price
- $433.26
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 14:57:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $11,316,930.0
- Put dollar volume: $5,187,625.0
The pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Statistics: TSM
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for TSM include:
- TSM announced plans to invest $10 billion in a new chip factory in the US.
- The company reported strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst expectations.
- TSM's largest shareholder, BlackRock, increased its stake in the company.
These headlines suggest a positive outlook for TSM, with significant investments and strong financial performance.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided data, we can analyze TSM's fundamental performance:
- Revenue growth rate: Not provided in the data.
- Profit margins: Not provided in the data.
- Earnings per share (EPS): Not provided in the data.
- P/E ratio: Not provided in the data.
Due to the lack of fundamental data, we will focus on technical and sentiment analysis.
Current Market Position:
TSM's current price is $433.24.
Recent price action shows a slight decline in the last few days, but the overall trend remains bullish.
Key support levels: $428.91, $418.93
Key resistance levels: $444.29, $450.00
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
SMA trends:
- 5-day SMA: $432.91
- 20-day SMA: $421.71
- 50-day SMA: $418.93
The 5-day SMA is above the 20-day and 50-day SMAs, indicating a bullish trend.
RSI is at 58.88, indicating a slightly overbought condition.
MACD is at 3.07, indicating a bullish signal.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $11,316,930.0
- Put dollar volume: $5,187,625.0
The pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Price Levels:
Support: $428.91, $418.93
Resistance: $444.29, $450.00
25-Day Price Forecast:
TSM is projected for $435.00 to $455.00
Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, TSM is expected to continue its bullish trend.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, we recommend:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy TSM 261002C00425000 (strike $425.0, expiration 2026-10-02) and sell TSM 261002C00450000 (strike $450.0, expiration 2026-10-02)
- Risk/Reward ratio: 1:1.5
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: Overbought RSI
- Sentiment divergences: None
- Volatility and ATR considerations: High volatility could impact the stock price
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: High
One-line trade idea: TSM is expected to continue its bullish trend.
View TSM Options Chain