TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
TSLA Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 04:07 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
TSLA (Tesla, Inc. Common Stock) at $365.68. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 70% / put 30%, call $119,645,100 vs put $51,910,660. RSI 51.1.
- Symbol
- TSLA
- Price
- $365.68
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 16:07:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: Calls account for 69.7% of the total dollar volume.
Pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Statistics: TSLA
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 336.63 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 29.38 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $1.08 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 4.42% |
| Net Margin | 3.73% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $103.62B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for TSLA include:
- Elon Musk's Starshield program with the UK government has sparked interest in SpaceX and Tesla's interconnected ventures.
- Several analysts have set price targets for TSLA, with some predicting a move towards $420.
- Tesla's stock has been in focus due to its volatility and recent price movements.
These headlines may relate to the technical and sentiment data, as they could influence investor perception and market positioning.
X/Twitter Sentiment (live xAI x_search, cited only):
| User | Post | Sentiment | Time | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| juromiko | I’m 50 years old and retired from JPMorgan. My monthly income is $115,000. My September advice : $AAPL (Apple) — Don’t buy $ORCL (Oracle) — Don’t buy $SNDK (SanDisk) — Don’t buy $TSLA (Tesla) — Buy at $355–$360 | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:55:44 GMT | https://x.com/juromiko/status/2098198773751337069 |
| DillonLoomis | Should I start exposing the people in the Tesla/SpaceX community that are blatantly just using AI to write their posts/articles? Or does no one care at this point and everyone just wants the information? $TSLA $SPCX | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:54:39 GMT | https://x.com/DillonLoomis/status/2098198498000638407 |
| ArmandTesla | UK is the first country outside the US to publicly admit it’s on Starshield. For $TSLA / Musk-stack watchers — does Starshield’s defense lock-in matter more to SpaceX valuation than consumer Starlink ARPU? | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:52:39 GMT | https://x.com/ArmandTesla/status/2098197995271635058 |
| ApexCyberMotors | Instead of buying $10 million in $UBER or 141,000 shares, I think the Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi should be acquiring as much $TSLA shares as he possibly can. He now owns over 1,367,100 shares directly. The stock is up 3% on the news. | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:48:48 GMT | https://x.com/ApexCyberMotors/status/2098197027855196327 |
| DavidVanKnapp11 | Pay attention to these in September. The best setups aren’t guesses — they are supported by logic. • $TSLA — $362 → $420 | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:47:36 GMT | https://x.com/DavidVanKnapp11/status/2098196726075240607 |
| GrindeOptions | I miss the old Elon where he’d hype it up and say how crazy things are that they’re achieving. I also think $TSLA needs to add live-streamed earnings calls. | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:46:41 GMT | https://x.com/GrindeOptions/status/2098196492796444964 |
One-sentence summary: Recent posts highlight buying opportunities for $TSLA shares and price targets alongside discussions on community content quality and related SpaceX developments.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data:
- Revenue: $103,619,000,000
- Trailing EPS: $1.08
- Trailing P/E: 336.63
- Price-to-Book: 29.38
- Debt-to-Equity: 0.09
- Return on Equity: 0.04
- Gross Margins: 0.19
- Operating Margins: 0.04
- Profit Margins: 0.04
The fundamental analysis suggests that TSLA has a high P/E ratio, which may indicate overvaluation. However, the company's revenue and profit margins are substantial.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $365.72
Recent price action: The stock has been trading in a range with a recent move upwards.
Key support and resistance levels: $354.50 (50-day SMA) and $384.04 (recent high).
Intraday momentum and trends: The stock is showing a slight bullish trend.
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
SMA trends: The 5-day SMA is above the 20-day SMA, and the 20-day SMA is above the 50-day SMA.
RSI interpretation: The RSI is neutral.
MACD signals: The MACD is bullish.
Bollinger Bands position: The stock is trading near the middle band.
30-day high/low context: The stock is trading near the middle of its 30-day range.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: Calls account for 69.7% of the total dollar volume.
Pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Price Levels (observational only):
25-Day Price Forecast:
TSLA is projected for $373.15 to $407.31
Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock is expected to trade within this range.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, we recommend the following defined risk strategies:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $360.00 call and sell $380.00 call
- Bear Put Spread: Buy $340.00 put and sell $320.00 put
- Iron Condor: Sell $360.00 call, buy $380.00 call, sell $340.00 put, and buy $320.00 put
These strategies align with the projected price range and offer a defined risk profile.
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: RSI divergence, MACD bearish crossover
- Sentiment divergences: Decrease in call buying
- Volatility and ATR considerations: High volatility expected around earnings
These risk factors could invalidate the thesis and should be monitored closely.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: Buy TSLA at $360.00 with a target of $420.00 and a stop loss at $348.00.
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