TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
TSLA Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 01:37 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
TSLA (Tesla, Inc. Common Stock) at $365.58. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 68% / put 32%, call $83,066,114 vs put $39,662,125. RSI 51.0.
- Symbol
- TSLA
- Price
- $365.58
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 13:37:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $83,066,114
- Put dollar volume: $39,662,125
Call/Put ratio: 67.7% / 32.3%
The pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Statistics: TSLA
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 336.63 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 29.38 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $1.08 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 4.42% |
| Net Margin | 3.73% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $103.62B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for TSLA include:
- Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi's purchase of TSLA shares, which could be seen as a bullish signal.
- Discussions around Elon Musk's past behavior of hyping up TSLA and potential changes to earnings calls.
- UK's adoption of Starshield, a SpaceX constellation, which could impact TSLA's SpaceX valuation.
These headlines may relate to the technical and sentiment data, as they discuss influential figures' actions, potential changes to the company's communication strategy, and developments in its space exploration segment.
X/Twitter Sentiment (live xAI x_search, cited only):
| User | Post | Sentiment | Time | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| juromiko | I’m 50 years old and retired from JPMorgan. My monthly income is $115,000. My September advice : $AAPL (Apple) — Don’t buy $ORCL (Oracle) — Don’t buy $SNDK (SanDisk) — Don’t buy $TSLA (Tesla) — Buy at $355–$360 | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:55:44 GMT | https://x.com/juromiko/status/2098198773751337069 |
| DillonLoomis | Should I start exposing the people in the Tesla/SpaceX community that are blatantly just using AI to write their posts/articles? Or does no one care at this point and everyone just wants the information? $TSLA $SPCX | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:54:39 GMT | https://x.com/DillonLoomis/status/2098198498000638407 |
| ArmandTesla | UK is the first country outside the US to publicly admit it’s on Starshield. MoD FOI to Reuters: ~1,000 Starshield + 500 Starlink terminals; ~£13M Starshield + £16.5M Starlink (~$40M total); same constellation, separate gateways. For $TSLA / Musk-stack watchers — does Starshield’s defense lock-in matter more to SpaceX valuation than consumer Starlink ARPU? | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:52:39 GMT | https://x.com/ArmandTesla/status/2098197995271635058 |
| ApexCyberMotors | Instead of buying $10 million in $UBER or 141,000 shares, I think the Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi should be acquiring as much $TSLA shares as he possibly can. He now owns over 1,367,100 shares directly. The stock is up 3% on the news. | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:48:48 GMT | https://x.com/ApexCyberMotors/status/2098197027855196327 |
| DavidVanKnapp11 | Pay attention to these in September. The best setups aren’t guesses — they are supported by logic. • $TSLA — $362 → $420 | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:47:36 GMT | https://x.com/DavidVanKnapp11/status/2098196726075240607 |
| GrindeOptions | I miss the old Elon where he’d hype it up and say how crazy things are that they’re achieving. I also think $TSLA needs to add live-streamed earnings calls. | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:46:41 GMT | https://x.com/GrindeOptions/status/2098196492796444964 |
| Tesla_Pinoy | MSM use “TESLA” to drive clicks when car crashes happen. Startups use “TESLA” to build confidence when they onboard engineers or former employees! $TSLA | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:46:10 GMT | https://x.com/Tesla_Pinoy/status/2098196363586715962 |
One-sentence summary: TSLA investors are discussing buy targets, stock ownership by Uber CEO, SpaceX/Starshield updates, AI-generated content concerns, and calls for live earnings.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data:
- Revenue: $103,619,000,000
- Trailing EPS: $1.08
- Trailing P/E: 336.63
- Price-to-Book: 29.38
- Debt-to-Equity: 0.09
- Return on Equity: 0.04
- Gross Margins: 0.19
- Operating Margins: 0.04
- Profit Margins: 0.04
Key fundamental strengths: Strong revenue, decent profit margins, and reasonable debt-to-equity ratio. Concerns: High P/E ratio, which may indicate overvaluation.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $365.55
Recent price action: The stock has been fluctuating around $360-$370.
Key support and resistance levels: To be determined from technical analysis.
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends:
- SMA 5: $363.83
- SMA 20: $355.14
- SMA 50: $354.50
RSI (14): 51.04
MACD: Bullish with a histogram of 1.0
Bollinger Bands:
- Middle: $355.13
- Upper: $376.33
- Lower: $333.94
ATR (14): $14.27
30-day high/low: $384.04 (high), $301.97 (low)
The stock is currently trading above its SMA 5 and SMA 20, with a bullish MACD signal.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $83,066,114
- Put dollar volume: $39,662,125
Call/Put ratio: 67.7% / 32.3%
The pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Price Levels (observational only):
Support: $354.50 (SMA 50)
Resistance: $376.33 (Bollinger Band upper)
Entry: $360.00
Target: $375.00
Stop Loss: $352.00
25-Day Price Forecast:
TSLA is projected for $373.11 to $391.19
Rationale: Based on current SMA trends, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR), the stock is expected to continue its upward trend, with potential resistance at $376.33 (Bollinger Band upper) and support at $354.50 (SMA 50).
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the 25-day price forecast, here are three defined risk strategy recommendations:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $360.00 call, sell $380.00 call (expiration: 2026-10-16)
- Iron Condor: Sell $360.00 put, buy $350.00 put, sell $380.00 call, buy $390.00 call (expiration: 2026-10-16)
- Protective Put: Buy $350.00 put (expiration: 2026-10-16)
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: None apparent
- Sentiment divergences: None apparent
- Volatility and ATR considerations: ATR is $14.27, indicating moderate volatility
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: High
One-line trade idea: TSLA is expected to continue its upward trend, with potential targets at $375-$390.
View TSLA Options Chain