TER Trading Analysis - 10/08/2026 04:47 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

News Headlines & Context

The following recent news context is provided from general knowledge and is separated from the data-driven analysis below.

• Teradyne (TER) reported mixed Q2 2026 results in July, with strength in AI-driven test equipment offset by softness in auto and industrial end-markets.
• Management cited rising demand from hyperscaler customers for next-gen memory and SoC test platforms as a key catalyst into H2 2026.
• Recent sector rotation into semiconductor capital equipment names lifted TER off 52-week lows earlier in the summer, though macro rate uncertainty remains a headwind.
• No confirmed near-term earnings date in the embedded data; fiscal year end per fundamentals is 2025-12-01, with ex-dividend on 2026-09-04.
• Headlines suggest fundamental tailwinds from AI test demand may support the October recovery in price and options call flow, but balanced sentiment implies caution.

Fundamental Analysis

Based strictly on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data for TER:

• Trailing P/E is 58.70 with trailing EPS of 7.33; valuation is elevated versus many broad-market peers but typical for semiconductor equipment names with AI exposure.
• Dividend yield is 0.12% (rate 0.52, ex-date 2026-09-04) — minimal income contribution.
• Market cap is 62,336,283,520.00 with 156,341,000 shares outstanding and institutional ownership at 73.41%.
• Beta is 1.54 indicating above-market volatility; 52-week range is 131.75 to 487.91.
• Historical volatility is 66.90%, confirming an elevated risk profile.
• PEG ratio, forward P/E, forward EPS, price-to-book, total revenue, revenue growth, ROE, profit margins, debt-to-equity, and free cash flow are all null in the data — cannot assess growth or margin trends quantitatively.
• Analyst consensus, target mean price, and number of opinions are null — no external target context available.
• Fundamentals show a high-multiple, institutionally-held volatile stock; this aligns with the technical picture of a sharp recovery from September lows followed by October pullback, but lacks confirmation from margins or growth data.

Current Market Position

Current price per indicators is 395.18 as of 2026-10-08. Daily history shows TER closed at 395.18 on 2026-10-08 after opening at 405.00, with a day range of 388.85 to 410.73 and volume of 2,054,353 (above 20-day avg of 1,474,558). The stock declined from 449.29 on 2026-10-02 to 395.18, a drop of ~12.04% over four sessions.

Minute bars for 2026-10-07 to 2026-10-08 show early weakness (low 404.80 on 10-07, then 388.85 on 10-08) and late-session bounce: final bar 15:55 closed at 399.31 on volume of 167,998 (highest in last 5 bars), indicating intraday recovery momentum into close.

Technical Analysis

• SMA alignment: SMA 5 (425.36) > SMA 20 (390.76) > SMA 50 (382.11); price 395.18 is below SMA 5 but above SMA 20/50 — short-term pullback within uptrend.
• RSI 57.60 shows moderate bullish momentum, not overbought.
• MACD line 14.41 above signal 11.53, histogram +2.88 — bullish but narrowing vs prior trend.
• Bollinger Bands: middle 390.76, upper 455.48, lower 326.04; price 395.18 sits just above middle band.
• 30-day range high 451.86, low 326.00; price is ~22.7% above low and ~12.5% below high — mid-upper range.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)

Options flow via True Sentiment (Delta 40-60 only):

Call Volume: 2,572,610.00 (58.9%) Put Volume: 1,792,820.00 (41.1%) Total: 4,365,430.00

• Sentiment labeled "Balanced" with call contracts 1,399 vs put 568; call trades 58 vs put 49.
• Call dollar share 58.9% shows mild directional call conviction, but filter ratio is 5.5% (107 of 1,950 analyzed) — narrow pure directional base.
• Near-term expectation: slight call lean but no breakout confirmation; aligns with balanced spread advice (no directional rec).
• Divergence: technicals show uptrend pullback, sentiment balanced — no aggressive bullish confirmation despite call volume edge.

Key Price Levels (Observational Only)