TER Trading Analysis - 10/08/2026 03:13 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

News Headlines & Context

Recent general-knowledge headlines and context for Teradyne (TER) that may frame the current data period:

• Teradyne reported strong Q2 2026 results in July, driven by recovery in semiconductor test demand and AI-related device ramp.
• Management highlighted improving bookings for memory and SoC test systems into the second half of 2026.
• Industry reports noted potential cyclical tailwinds for automated test equipment as compute and HBM production scales.
• No confirmed near-term earnings date in provided data; next fiscal year end is 2025-12-01 per fundamentals, with ex-dividend 2026-09-04.
• Headlines suggest constructive end-market demand, which loosely aligns with the August–October price advance seen in daily data before the early-October pullback.

This news context is separate from the strict data-driven analysis below.

Fundamental Analysis

Based strictly on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data for TER:

• Trailing P/E: 58.70; Trailing EPS: $7.33; Market Cap: $61,742,187,720.00; Shares Outstanding: 156,341,000.00.
• Dividend Yield: 0.12% (Rate $0.52); Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-09-04.
• Beta: 1.54 (above market; elevated systemic risk).
• 52-Week High: $487.91; 52-Week Low: $131.75 (current zone near upper half).
• Institutional Ownership: 73.41%.
• Average Volume: 2,486,000.00; Historical Volatility: 66.90%.
• PEG Ratio, Forward P/E, Forward EPS, Profit Margins, ROE, Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow, Revenue Growth, Total Revenue, Analyst Target, and Recommendation Key are null/unavailable in data.

Valuation via trailing P/E of 58.70 is elevated versus typical hardware peers, but EPS of $7.33 and institutional sponsorship of 73.41% show profitability and professional holding. Missing margin and growth fields prevent deeper quality assessment. Fundamentals show a high-multiple, low-yield, high-beta name; this diverges from the balanced options sentiment and the recent sharp intraday decline seen in minute bars.

Current Market Position

From embedded data: Daily close on 2026-10-07 was $410.59. Minute bars show 2026-10-07 open $415.18, high $416.69, low $404.80, close $410.59; 2026-10-08 last bar at 14:45 closed $394.92 (low $394.92, high $395.14), indicating a clear two-day fade from ~$415 to ~$395.

Intraday momentum on 2026-10-08 is weak: each of the last 5 minute bars trends lower (14:25 $399.69 → 14:45 $394.92) on mixed volume (last bar 21,617). The stock is below the 2026-10-07 daily open and approaching the 30-day low area relative to the 451.86 high.

Technical Analysis

Price $410.59 is above SMA 20 ($389.51) and SMA 50 ($380.61) but below SMA 5 ($430.01), showing short-term bearish crossover pressure beneath a still-positive medium trend. RSI 68.08 is near-overbought but rolling down from early-October highs. MACD (16.75 > signal 13.40, hist 3.35) is bullish but flattening. Bollinger mid $389.51, price inside upper half; upper $454.80 acts as延伸 resistance. 30-day range: price sits ~41% down from high, above midpoint. ATR 18.70 implies daily swing risk.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)

From TER_options_20261008_1512.json (Delta 40-60 only):

Call Dollar Volume: $1,337,590.00 (46.5%) Put Dollar Volume: $1,539,160.00 (53.5%) Total: $2,876,750.00

Sentiment is Balanced. Call contracts 440 vs put 459; call trades 52 vs put 42. Pure directional conviction is split, with a slight put-dollar tilt. This balanced read contrasts with the prior daily uptrend and the sharp 10-08 intraday drop, suggesting no strong consensus on near-term direction. No divergence extreme versus price, but confirms caution vs the overbought RSI.

Key Price Levels (Observational Only)