TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
STZ Trading Analysis - 09/10/2026 04:38 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
STZ (Constellation Brands, Inc.) at $123.81. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 67% / put 33%, call $507,450 vs put $248,365. RSI 27.5.
- Symbol
- STZ
- Price
- $123.81
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- neutral
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-10 16:38:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Options flow sentiment is bullish, with:
- Call dollar volume: $507,450 (67.1%)
- Put dollar volume: $248,365 (32.9%)
This suggests that traders are positioning for a potential upside.
Key Statistics: STZ
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | N/A |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | N/A |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | N/A |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 22.01% |
| Net Margin | 20.78% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $9.06B |
| Debt/Equity | 1.19 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for STZ include:
- Constellation Brands (STZ) reported strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst expectations.
- The company announced plans to expand its beer portfolio, entering new markets.
- STZ has been investing heavily in its wine and spirits segment, aiming for growth.
These headlines suggest positive momentum for STZ, with potential for increased revenue and market share. This could influence the technical and sentiment analysis.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals:
- Total Revenue: $9,056,700,000
- Debt/Equity ratio: 1.19
- Return on Equity (ROE): 22.01%
- Gross Margins: 52.62%
- Operating Margins: 31.50%
- Profit Margins: 20.78%
The company's strong revenue, healthy margins, and positive ROE indicate a solid fundamental position. However, the debt/equity ratio suggests some leverage.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $123.81
Recent price action shows a decline from recent highs, with the stock finding support around $120.
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
The RSI indicates oversold conditions, while the MACD shows a bearish signal. The 50-day SMA is above the current price, indicating a downtrend.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Options flow sentiment is bullish, with:
- Call dollar volume: $507,450 (67.1%)
- Put dollar volume: $248,365 (32.9%)
This suggests that traders are positioning for a potential upside.
Key Price Levels:
Key support and resistance levels are $120.25 and $139.26, respectively.
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on current trends and indicators, STZ is projected for $122.00 to $130.00.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, consider:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $125 call, sell $130 call
- Bear Put Spread: Buy $120 put, sell $115 put
- Iron Condor: Sell $125 call, buy $130 call, sell $120 put, buy $115 put
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: RSI oversold conditions
- Sentiment divergences: Bullish options flow vs bearish technicals
- Volatility: ATR 3.16
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Neutral
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: STZ may see a rebound to $130.
View STZ Options Chain