TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
SMCI Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 02:27 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc. Common Stock) at $39.77. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 83% / put 17%, call $17,083,346 vs put $3,407,795. RSI 57.0.
- Symbol
- SMCI
- Price
- $39.77
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 14:27:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume: $17,083,346 (call) vs $3,407,795 (put)
The options flow suggests that traders are bullish on SMCI, with a higher call volume than put volume.
Key Statistics: SMCI
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 11.47 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 1.80 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $3.26 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 15.40% |
| Net Margin | 5.71% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $39.06B |
| Debt/Equity | 1.07 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for SMCI include:
- Super Micro Computer $SMCI mentioned in Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2026 and Citi’s 2026 Global TMT Conference.
- Mikey needs a speech therapist ASAP. Then we can feed him an 8 ball to help him with the energy level. (Bearish sentiment)
- $SMCI i dont like doing this but i may habe to turn this ish green by eod (Neutral sentiment)
- $SMCI Gonna try a starter here, tight stop since there is a gap beow (Neutral sentiment)
- $SMCI 34$ o 32$ tomorrow (Bearish sentiment)
These headlines suggest that SMCI is being discussed at various conferences and that traders are closely watching the stock's price action.
X/Twitter Sentiment (live xAI x_search, cited only):
| User | Post | Sentiment | Time | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| pequityresearch | Day 3 Takeaways | Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2026 and Citi’s 2026 Global TMT Conference Companies in this article include: Nvidia $NVDA Credo Technology $CRDO Super Micro Computer $SMCI Penguin Solutions $PENG SpaceX $SPCX | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:54:07 GMT | https://x.com/pequityresearch/status/2098198366651883524 |
| Marc_periu | $SMCI Mikey needs a speech therapist ASAP. Then we can feed him an 8 ball to help him with the energy level. | Bearish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:20:22 GMT | https://x.com/Marc_periu/status/2098189870724182419 |
| Marc_periu | $SMCI i dont like doing this but i may habe to turn this ish green by eod | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:18:03 GMT | https://x.com/Marc_periu/status/2098189288009556131 |
| Marc_periu | $SMCI Gonna try a starter here, tight stop since there is a gap beow | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:17:31 GMT | https://x.com/Marc_periu/status/2098189152474788004 |
| Marc_periu | $SMCI 34$ o 32$ tomorrow | Bearish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:15:19 GMT | https://x.com/Marc_periu/status/2098188599862653387 |
One-sentence summary: Traders are discussing SMCI's conference takeaways and potential price movements around $32-$40.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data:
- Total Revenue: $39,063,072,000
- Trailing EPS: $3.26
- Trailing P/E: 11.47
- Debt/Equity: 1.07
- Return on Equity (ROE): 0.15
The company's revenue and EPS are strong, but the debt/equity ratio is relatively high.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $39.84
Recent price action: The stock has been trending upward, with a recent high of $40.45 and a low of $37.56.
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends:
- 5-day SMA: $39.20
- 20-day SMA: $37.86
- 50-day SMA: $32.52
RSI (14): 57.01
MACD: Bullish
Bollinger Bands: Middle $37.86, Upper $40.45, Lower $35.28
The stock is currently trading above its 5-day, 20-day, and 50-day SMAs, indicating a bullish trend.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume: $17,083,346 (call) vs $3,407,795 (put)
The options flow suggests that traders are bullish on SMCI, with a higher call volume than put volume.
Key Price Levels (observational only):
Support: $37.56, $35.28
Resistance: $40.45, $42.31
25-Day Price Forecast:
SMCI is projected for $42.50 to $45.00
Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock is expected to continue its upward trend.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, here are three defined risk strategy recommendations:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $40.0 call, sell $42.0 call
- Iron Condor: Sell $38.0 put, buy $36.0 put, sell $42.0 call, buy $44.0 call
- Protective Put: Buy $40.0 put
Risk Factors:
Technical warning signs or weaknesses:
- High debt/equity ratio
- Volatility and ATR considerations
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: High
One-line trade idea: Buy SMCI with a bullish bias, targeting $42.50 to $45.00.
View SMCI Options Chain