TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
SIMO Trading Analysis - 10/19/2026 03:41 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corporation) at $215.21. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 97% / put 3%, call $6,898,300 vs put $208,520. RSI 16.6.
- Symbol
- SIMO
- Price
- $215.21
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- neutral
- Conviction
- low
- Published
- 2026-10-19 15:41:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)Options flow via True Sentiment (Delta 40-60 only):
Call Volume: $6,898,300.00 (97.10%) Put Volume: $208,520.00 (2.90%) Total: $7,106,820.00
Sentiment: Bullish. Call contracts 3,253 vs put 72; strong directional conviction to upside. This diverges from technicals (RSI oversold, MACD negative, price below SMAs). Pure positioning suggests near-term rebound expectation, but spread recommendation engine flagged divergence and advised waiting for alignment.
Key Statistics: SIMO
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (trailing) | 24.60 |
| EPS (trailing 12 mo) | $8.58 |
| Market cap | $7.32B |
| Shares outstanding | 33.9M |
Dividend
| Dividend yield | 1.09% |
| Annual dividend | $2.30 |
| Ex-dividend date | 2026-11-05 |
Risk & range
| Beta | 3.03 |
| 52-week low | $79.76 |
| 52-week high | $355.00 |
| Historical volatility | 86.8% |
Ownership & trading
| Institutional ownership | 36.1% |
| Average daily volume | 0.7M sh |
Reported figures; no analyst estimates.
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context
The following items are based on general knowledge of Silicon Motion (SIMO) and are provided for contextual background only, separate from the data-driven analysis below.
- SIMO reported strong Q2 2026 SSD controller shipment growth driven by AI edge-device demand, though exact figures were not verified in this dataset.
- Company announced a $2.30 annual dividend with ex-dividend date of 2026-11-05, reflected in fundamentals data.
- Recent sector volatility tied to memory pricing swings and high beta (3.03) left SIMO among the most volatile semiconductor names.
- No specific earnings date was identified in knowledge base for late Oct 2026, but historical pattern suggests year-end fiscal update near December.
- Headlines of broad tech pullbacks align with the sharp Sept–Oct price decline seen in embedded daily history.
Fundamental Analysis
Based strictly on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data for SIMO (as of 2026-10-19):
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 24.60 |
| Trailing EPS | $8.58 |
| Market Cap | $7,316,498,700.00 |
| Shares Outstanding | 33,908,000.00 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.09% |
| Dividend Rate | $2.30 |
| Ex-Dividend Date | 2026-11-05 |
| Beta | 3.03 |
| 52-Week High | $355.00 |
| 52-Week Low | $79.76 |
| Institutional % | 36.11% |
| Average Volume | 732,000.00 |
| Historical Volatility | 86.84% |
Revenue growth (YoY), profit margins (gross/operating/net), ROE, Debt/Equity, and Free Cash Flow are null in the data and cannot be assessed. Forward P/E, PEG, and target price are also null; analyst consensus is unavailable. The trailing P/E of 24.60 with EPS of $8.58 suggests moderate valuation versus typical semiconductor peers, but no peer comparison numbers are provided. Fundamental concerns include very high beta (3.03) and historical volatility (86.84%) indicating extreme sensitivity to market moves. Fundamentals diverge from the bullish options sentiment, as price is near 52-week low range and technicals are weak.
Current Market Position
Current price per indicators is $211.07 (calculated 2026-10-19, based on 2026-10-16 close). Minute bars show 2026-10-16 open at $218.93, dropping to low $209.14, closing $211.07. Final minute bar 2026-10-19 15:10 close $215.21, with intraday range $214.91–$216.41 in last 5 bars indicating mild recovery attempt but muted volume (1,217 at close). Recent daily action: from 2026-09-04 close $256.21 to 2026-10-16 close $211.07, a decline of ~17.6%. Key levels from data: 30-day low $204.37, high $294.98; Bollinger lower $219.10.
Technical Analysis
Technical Indicators
SMA alignment: Price ($211.07) < SMA 5 ($229.32) < SMA 50 ($257.16) < SMA 20 ($265.17) — bearish stack, no bullish crossover. RSI 16.57 indicates oversold momentum. MACD negative and histogram negative shows continuing downside pressure. Price below BB lower ($219.10) suggests extended selloff. 30-day range: low $204.37, high $294.98; current near low extreme (about 7% above low).
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)
Options flow via True Sentiment (Delta 40-60 only):
Call Volume: $6,898,300.00 (97.10%) Put Volume: $208,520.00 (2.90%) Total: $7,106,820.00
Sentiment: Bullish. Call contracts 3,253 vs put 72; strong directional conviction to upside. This diverges from technicals (RSI oversold, MACD negative, price below SMAs). Pure positioning suggests near-term rebound expectation, but spread recommendation engine flagged divergence and advised waiting for alignment.
Key Price Levels (Observational Only)
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