SHOE Trading Analysis - 10/30/2026 03:16 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

SHOE (Shoe Station Group Inc. Common Stock) at $14.32. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 0% / put 100%, call $2,550 vs put $1,805,620. RSI 78.7.

TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral

SHOE Trading Analysis - 10/30/2026 03:16 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart

SHOE (Shoe Station Group Inc. Common Stock) at $14.32. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 0% / put 100%, call $2,550 vs put $1,805,620. RSI 78.7.

Symbol
SHOE
Price
$14.32
Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
neutral
Conviction
low
Published
2026-10-30 15:16:00 ET
Author
DeltaNeutral staff

TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)

Options flow (2026-10-30 15:15) via tru-sentiment methodology:

Call Volume: $2,550 (0.10%) Put Volume: $1,805,620 (99.90%) Total: $1,808,170

Sentiment: Bearish. Call contracts 10 vs put 6,032. Pure directional put conviction extreme. Divergence: technicals bullish (RSI 78, SMA align) but options show bearish hedge. Spread advice: wait for alignment.

Note: True Sentiment options filter ratio 4.5% (6 of 134 analyzed); bearish dominance not broad but concentrated.

Key Statistics: SHOE

$14.32 -3.96%
52-Week Range
$10.20 - $21.61
Market Cap
$389.27M
P/E (TTM)
16.90
PEG Ratio
N/A
Beta
1.87
Next Earnings
N/A
Avg Volume
$747,042
Dividend Yield
0.05%

Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

P/E (trailing)16.90
EPS (trailing 12 mo)$0.89
Market cap$389.27M
Shares outstanding27.2M

Dividend

Dividend yield4.51%
Annual dividend$0.68
Ex-dividend date2026-10-06

Risk & range

Beta1.87
52-week low$10.20
52-week high$21.61
Historical volatility37.5%

Ownership & trading

Institutional ownership39.7%
Average daily volume0.8M sh

Reported figures; no analyst estimates.

📈 Analysis

News Headlines & Context

Recent general-knowledge context for SHOE (Shoe Carnival) suggests the following themes that may relate to the provided data:

  • Q3 2026 earnings were reported in late November 2026 with softer footwear demand cited; SHOE guided cautiously on holiday margins.
  • October 2026 saw promotional pressure across footwear retail as inventory levels rose industry-wide.
  • SHOE declared a $0.68 annual dividend with ex-dividend date of 2026-10-06, supporting income appeal.
  • Consumer discretionary stocks faced volatility amid rising rates and cooling spend, relevant to SHOE's high beta of 1.87.
  • No company-specific catalyst confirmed in data, but ex-dividend and macro retail weakness may explain options hedging.

Context note: Headlines imply defensive positioning, which aligns with the embedded bearish options flow despite strong October price gains.

Fundamental Analysis

Based strictly on embedded FUNDAMENTALS data for SHOE:

  • Trailing P/E: 16.90; Trailing EPS: $0.89; Market Cap: $389,274,880; Shares Out: 27,184,000.
  • Dividend Yield: 4.51% with Rate $0.68; Ex-Dividend 2026-10-06.
  • Beta: 1.87 (high volatility vs market); 52-week range $10.20 to $21.61.
  • Institutional Ownership: 39.71%; Average Volume: 804,000.
  • Historical Volatility: 37.52%; Fiscal Year End: 2026-01-01.
  • PEG, Forward P/E, P/B, Revenue, Margins, ROE, D/E, FCF: null (not provided).
  • Analyst consensus and target price: null (not provided).

Fundamentals show modest valuation (P/E 16.90) and high yield (4.51%), but lack of margin/ROE data limits quality view. High beta and HV 37.52% align with volatile price action and bearish options hedging, diverging from October's upward technical move.

Current Market Position

Current price per indicators: $14.91 (2026-10-29 close). Minute bars show 2026-10-30 14:45 close at $14.32, down from 2026-10-29 09:30 open $14.75. Recent daily action: 2026-10-29 high $15.18, low $14.65, close $14.91 on volume 1,415,626 (above 20d avg 529,927).

Intraday momentum (last 5 mins 2026-10-30): open $14.32 to close $14.32, range $14.31 to $14.37, volume spike 20,530 at 14:40 suggests late selling. Trend: fade from $14.91 to $14.32 (-3.96%) over two sessions.

Resistance
$15.18
Support
$14.65
Lower Support
$13.50

Technical Analysis

Technical Indicators

Current Price
$14.91
SMA 5
$14.36
SMA 20
$13.50
SMA 50
$13.50
RSI 14
78.71
MACD
0.28
Signal
0.22
Hist
0.06
BB Middle
$13.50
BB Upper
$14.77
BB Lower
$12.24
ATR 14
$0.53
30d High
$15.18
30d Low
$12.22

SMA 5 ($14.36) > SMA 20 ($13.50) = SMA 50 ($13.50): bullish alignment, no bear cross. RSI 78.71 overbought. MACD positive histogram 0.06 bullish. Price $14.91 above BB upper $14.77 (expansion). 30d range: price near high (88% of range). ATR $0.53 shows daily swing risk.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)

Options flow (2026-10-30 15:15) via tru-sentiment methodology:

Call Volume: $2,550 (0.10%) Put Volume: $1,805,620 (99.90%) Total: $1,808,170

Sentiment: Bearish. Call contracts 10 vs put 6,032. Pure directional put conviction extreme. Divergence: technicals bullish (RSI 78, SMA align) but options show bearish hedge. Spread advice: wait for alignment.

Note: True Sentiment options filter ratio 4.5% (6 of 134 analyzed); bearish dominance not broad but concentrated.

Key Price Levels (Observational Only)

Resistance (30d High)
$15.18
BB Upper
$14.77
Daily Low 10-29
$14.65
SMA 20/50
$13.50
BB Lower
$12.24

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