SE Trading Analysis - 10/23/2026 02:58 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

News Headlines & Context

Using general knowledge for context only (separate from data-driven analysis below):

• Sea Limited (SE) reported weaker-than-expected Q3 e-commerce GMV growth in Southeast Asia amid rising regional competition, pressuring shares earlier in the quarter.
• Management cited increased logistics investments hurting short-term margins but supporting long-term market share.
• Macro concerns over Southeast Asian consumer spending and FX volatility have weighed on tech equities with regional exposure.
• No confirmed near-term earnings date in embedded data; fiscal year end listed as 2025-12-01 in fundamentals.
• Headlines of soft regional demand align with the steep September–October price decline seen in the embedded daily history.

Fundamental Analysis

Based strictly on provided FUNDAMENTALS data (source: FinWin fundamentals local):

• Trailing P/E: 29.70; Trailing EPS: 2.71; Market Cap: 46.57B; Shares Out: 612.49M.
• Dividend Yield: 0.00%; Beta: 0.98; 52-Week High: 164.03; 52-Week Low: 75.99.
• Institutional Ownership: 34.21%; Average Volume: 5.84M; Historical Volatility: 41.50%.
• PEG Ratio: null; Forward P/E: null; Price/Book: null; Revenue Growth: null; Profit Margins: null; ROE: null; Debt/Equity: null; Free Cash Flow: null; Target Mean Price: null; Analyst Opinions: null.

Key fundamental takeaway: Valuation at 29.70 P/E with no PEG or margin data available. The stock trades near its 52-week low of 75.99 (current 76.04), implying significant drawdown from 164.03 high. Low institutional ownership (34.21%) and zero dividend suggest a growth-oriented profile. Fundamentals diverge from technicals: price is deeply below SMA-50 of 104.43, showing the market is pricing in fundamental deterioration not fully detailed in provided metrics.

Current Market Position

Current price from indicators: 76.04 (2026-10-22 close). Daily history shows close on 2026-10-22 at 76.04 after opening 76.69, high 77.65, low 75.41, volume 6.70M. Recent slide: 2026-10-19 close 89.16 → 2026-10-20 80.41 → 2026-10-21 77.04 → 2026-10-22 76.04. Minute bars (2026-10-21 to 2026-10-22 15:55) show open 79.96, early drop to 78.46 by 09:50, then grind to 75.78 close on 2026-10-22 15:55 with volume spike to 607K in final bar. Intraday momentum is negative; lower highs and lower lows across both daily and minute frames.

Technical Analysis

Price is below SMA-5 (83.27), SMA-20 (93.15), and SMA-50 (104.43) — full bearish alignment with no bullish crossovers. RSI 14 at 21.82 indicates oversold momentum but no reversal signal yet. MACD (-6.10) below signal (-4.88) with histogram -1.22 confirms bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands: price 76.04 is below lower band (79.44) — expansion to downside. 30-day range: price at 75.41 low extreme, just above 52-week low 75.99 violation risk. ATR 3.75 shows elevated daily movement.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)

From True Sentiment options data (2026-10-23):

Call Volume: 507,849.00 (42.5%) Put Volume: 686,565.00 (57.5%) Total: 1,194,414.00

Sentiment: Balanced. Call contracts 866 vs put 543; call trades 48 vs put 41. Pure directional conviction (Delta 40-60 filter) shows slight put-dollar dominance (57.5%) but classified balanced. Near-term expectation: no clear directional bias; options flow does not confirm the sharp bearish technical slide. Divergence: technicals deeply bearish, sentiment balanced — suggests possible capitulation or wait-and-see positioning.

Key Price Levels (Observational Only)