SCCO Trading Analysis - 10/22/2026 04:15 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

News Headlines & Context

The following items reflect general knowledge context for Southern Copper Corp (SCCO) and are separated from the data-driven analysis below:

• Copper prices stabilized near multi-week highs amid ongoing supply constraints from major Latin American mines (Q3 2026).
• SCCO maintained its semi-annual dividend of $2.20 per share; ex-dividend date was August 11, 2026, with annual rate $4.40.
• Peru and Mexico labor negotiations at SCCO operations concluded without major strikes, reducing near-term disruption risk.
• Global electrification and grid expansion continue to support long-term copper demand forecasts into 2027.
• No specific earnings date confirmed in general knowledge for late October 2026; next fiscal year end per data is December 1, 2025.

Context: Stable copper prices and uninterrupted operations provide a constructive backdrop, but the embedded options data shows balanced sentiment, suggesting markets await clearer directional catalysts before committing.

Fundamental Analysis

Based strictly on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data:

• Trailing P/E: 30.20; Trailing EPS: $6.70
• Dividend Yield: 2.17%; Dividend Rate: $4.40; Ex-Dividend: 2026-08-11
• Market Cap: $154,970,897,760.00; Shares Out: 844,344,000.00
• Beta: 0.76 (below 1.0, lower market sensitivity)
• 52-Week High: $220.78; 52-Week Low: $116.67
• Institutional Ownership: 6.21% (low vs typical large-cap)
• Average Volume: 986,000.00; Historical Volatility: 37.03%
• forwardPE, pegRatio, priceToBook, totalRevenue, revenueGrowth, returnOnEquity, profitMargins, debtToEquity, freeCashflow, recommendationKey, targetMeanPrice: all null

Revenue growth (YoY), profit margins, and ROE are not available in the data. Valuation via trailing P/E of 30.20 is elevated versus a low-beta industrial miner profile; no PEG for comparison. Fundamental strength shows consistent dividend and low beta, but lack of institutional participation (6.21%) and missing cash flow data are concerns. Fundamentals diverge from technicals: price is below SMAs while dividend yield and low beta suggest defensive holding, yet technicals show weak momentum.

Current Market Position

Current price per indicators: $197.70 (as of 2026-10-21 close). Minute bars show 2026-10-21 open $199.99, low $190.69, close $197.49 (first bars); 2026-10-22 15:45 close $182.91 with range $182.58–$182.94 in final 5 bars. Recent price action declined from $202.54 (10-20) to $197.70 (10-21) then intraday drop to $182.91 by 10-22 15:45.

Key levels from data: 30-day high $211.07, low $183.50; Bollinger lower $196.36, upper $209.38; daily low 10-21 $190.69; 10-22 minute low $182.58.

Intraday momentum (10-22) is downward: price fell from $182.94 at 15:25 to $182.91 at 15:45 with low volume recovery.

Technical Analysis

SMA alignment: 5-day $201.22 < 50-day $201.45 < 20-day $202.87; price $197.70 below all. No golden/death cross active but price under SMAs signals bearish short-term. RSI 49.34 neutral momentum. MACD histogram +0.11 (macd 0.53 > signal 0.43) mild bullish bias. Bollinger middle $202.87, lower $196.36, upper $209.38; price below lower band indicates oversold expansion. 30-day range $183.50–$211.07: price at $197.70 is 32% up from low. Format adherence: all prices 2-decimal.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)

Options flow (2026-10-22 16:15) shows Balanced sentiment.

Call dollar volume: $342,440.00 (50.2%); Put dollar volume: $339,750.00 (49.8%); total $682,190.00. Contracts: calls 237, puts 265. Trades: call 25, put 20. True sentiment options analyzed: 45 of 1204 (3.7% filter).

Conviction: near-equal directional positioning, no bias. Pure directional read suggests near-term expectations are range-bound. Divergence: MACD mildly bullish but options balanced; price drop 10-22 not reflected in options yet.

Key Price Levels (Observational Only)