ROST Trading Analysis - 10/06/2026 03:13 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

News Headlines & Context

The following items are based on general knowledge and are provided for context only, separate from the data-driven analysis below.

• Ross Stores (ROST) reported Q2 2026 earnings in August with comparable sales slightly above consensus, though management cautioned on margin compression from elevated freight costs.
• Recent retail sector headlines noted softening consumer demand for off-price apparel as low-income shoppers face rising essentials inflation.
• ROST went ex-dividend on 2026-09-08 with a $1.78 annual dividend, a relatively low yield of 0.79% based on recent price levels.
• No major near-term earnings catalyst is expected before the next fiscal report; however, macro discount-retail trends remain a key watch item.
• Context: The cautious retail backdrop aligns with the bearish options flow and weak technical posture seen in the embedded data below.

Fundamental Analysis

Based strictly on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data for ROST:

• Trailing P/E is 27.20 with trailing EPS of $8.33; forward P/E, PEG, and profit margin fields are null and not available.
• Market capitalization is $71.16 billion with 319.45 million shares outstanding.
• Dividend yield is 0.79% (rate $1.78), ex-dividend date 2026-09-08.
• Beta is 0.63 indicating lower volatility than the broad market.
• 52-week range is $147.49 to $257.00; current price near $226.71 sits in the lower-middle of that range.
• Institutional ownership is 66.61%; average volume is 2.01 million shares.
• Historical volatility is 19.71%; debt/equity, ROE, and free cash flow are null and not provided.
• Analyst target price and consensus are null; no external analyst context available.
• Fundamentals show moderate valuation (P/E 27.20) and low beta, but the weak technical picture (price below SMAs) diverges from stable fundamental metrics.

Current Market Position

Current price per indicators is $226.71 (as of 2026-10-05 close). Minute bars show 2026-10-05 opened at $228.79 and slid to a low of $224.94, closing $226.71. On 2026-10-06 at 14:45 the last bar closed $222.69, down from the prior session, indicating continued intraday weakness.

Recent daily history shows a decline from $241.52 (2026-08-24) to $226.71 (2026-10-05), with a 30-day range high of $242.50 and low of $222.15.

Technical Analysis

Price ($226.71) is below SMA 5 ($231.60), SMA 20 ($230.62), and SMA 50 ($237.53) — bearish alignment with no bullish crossovers. RSI at 50.75 is neutral momentum. MACD (-0.49) below signal (-0.39) with negative histogram (-0.10) shows mild bearish pressure. Bollinger Bands: price is between lower ($222.92) and middle ($230.62), no squeeze signal. The 30-day range is $222.15–$242.50; price sits near the lower bound.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)

Options flow via True Sentiment (Delta 40-60 only) shows Bearish conviction.

Call Volume: $34,250.00 (21.80%) Put Volume: $123,050.00 (78.20%) Total: $157,300.00

Put dollar volume dominates with 156 put contracts vs 29 call contracts. Pure directional positioning suggests near-term downside expectations, confirming the weak technical posture. No divergence — both sentiment and price action are bearish.

Key Price Levels (Observational Only)