TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
RARE Trading Analysis - 09/18/2026 04:51 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
RARE (Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.) at $14.60. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 98% / put 2%, call $3,842,355 vs put $58,075. RSI 19.3.
- Symbol
- RARE
- Price
- $14.60
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-18 16:51:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Options flow sentiment is bullish, with:
- Call dollar volume: $3,842,355 (98.5%)
- Put dollar volume: $58,075 (1.5%)
This suggests strong bullish conviction among options traders.
Key Statistics: RARE
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | -2.49 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | -10.04 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $-5.82 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 201.36% |
| Net Margin | -81.70% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $717.21M |
| Debt/Equity | -5.32 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for RARE include:
- RARE stock surged after announcing positive results from a clinical trial.
- The company received FDA approval for a new treatment, boosting investor confidence.
- RARE's partnership with a major pharmaceutical company has been expanding, potentially increasing revenue.
These headlines suggest a positive outlook for RARE, with potential catalysts for further growth.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Total Revenue: $717,212,000
- Trailing EPS: -$5.82
- Trailing P/E: -2.49
- Price-to-Book: -10.04
- Debt-to-Equity: -5.32
- Return on Equity (ROE): 2.01%
- Operating Margins: -73.64%
- Profit Margins: -81.70%
The negative EPS and profit margins indicate challenges, but the revenue growth and ROE suggest potential for improvement.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $14.51
Recent price action shows a significant drop from previous highs, with current support around $13-$14.
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
The RSI indicates oversold conditions, while the MACD shows a bearish signal.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Options flow sentiment is bullish, with:
- Call dollar volume: $3,842,355 (98.5%)
- Put dollar volume: $58,075 (1.5%)
This suggests strong bullish conviction among options traders.
Key Price Levels:
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on current trends and indicators, RARE is projected for $12.50 to $16.00.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, consider:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $15.00 call, sell $17.50 call
- Iron Condor: Sell $15.00 put, buy $12.50 put, sell $17.50 call, buy $20.00 call
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: oversold RSI, bearish MACD
- Sentiment divergences: bullish options flow vs bearish technicals
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: Consider defined risk strategies on RARE given bullish sentiment and oversold conditions.
View RARE Options Chain