TRU-SENTIMENT ยท DeltaNeutral
QLYS Trading Analysis - 09/15/2026 11:21 AM โ TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain ยท Stock chart ยท Baseline chart
QLYS (Qualys, Inc. Common Stock) at $175.22. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 23% / put 77%, call $1,100 vs put $3,600. RSI 49.6.
- Symbol
- QLYS
- Price
- $175.22
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-15 11:21:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
- Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish, with a put-call ratio of 76.6% / 23.4%.
- Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: Put dollar volume ($3600) exceeds call dollar volume ($1100), indicating bearish conviction.
Key Statistics: QLYS
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 29.97 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 22.01 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $5.77 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 36.74% |
| Net Margin | 29.38% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $702.98M |
| Debt/Equity | 0.91 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
๐ Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for QLYS include:
- Cybersecurity firm reports strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst expectations.
- QLYS announces partnership with major cloud provider to enhance security services.
- Company completes acquisition of smaller rival, expanding its market presence.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data:
- Revenue growth rate is not explicitly provided, but the market cap of $12,374,995,790 and trailing EPS of $5.77 indicate a strong financial position.
- Profit margins are robust, with gross margins at 83.33%, operating margins at 34.35%, and net margins at 29.38%.
- The P/E ratio is 29.97, which may indicate a relatively high valuation compared to the sector or peers.
- The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.91, which could be a concern for some investors.
- ROE is strong at 36.74%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
Current Market Position:
The current price of QLYS is $175.30, with recent price action showing an increase. Key support and resistance levels are:
- Support: $170.00 (previous day's low)
- Resistance: $190.00 ( recent high)
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
- SMA trends: The 50-day SMA ($166.72) is below the 20-day SMA ($176.30), indicating a bullish crossover.
- RSI: The RSI (14) is at 49.61, which is neutral but close to overbought territory.
- MACD: The MACD line (-0.33) is below the signal line (-0.26), but the histogram (-0.07) is narrowing, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
- Bollinger Bands: The stock price is near the upper band ($194.83), which could indicate overbought conditions.
- 30-day high/low context: The stock is near the 30-day high, which could indicate strong bullish momentum.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
- Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish, with a put-call ratio of 76.6% / 23.4%.
- Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: Put dollar volume ($3600) exceeds call dollar volume ($1100), indicating bearish conviction.
Key Price Levels:
25-Day Price Forecast:
QLYS is projected for $185.00 to $205.00 based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators. This range considers the bullish crossover, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR). Support and resistance levels may act as barriers or targets within this range.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast ($185.00 to $205.00), recommended defined risk strategies include:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy QLYS 10/16/26 175.0C @ $11.0, Sell QLYS 10/16/26 190.0C @ $6.6. Net debit: $4.40. Max profit: $4.60. Max loss: $4.40. Risk/Reward: 1:1.
- Bear Put Spread: Buy QLYS 10/16/26 185.0P @ $14.7, Sell QLYS 10/16/26 175.0P @ $11.6. Net debit: $3.10. Max profit: $3.90. Max loss: $3.10. Risk/Reward: 1.26:1.
- Iron Condor: Sell QLYS 10/16/26 180.0P @ $12.3, Buy QLYS 10/16/26 175.0P @ $14.7, Sell QLYS 10/16/26 190.0C @ $6.6, Buy QLYS 10/16/26 195.0C @ $3.7. Net credit: $4.30. Max profit: $4.30. Max loss: $5.70. Risk/Reward: 1:1.33.
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: Overbought RSI and proximity to Bollinger Bands could indicate a pullback.
- Sentiment divergences: Bearish options flow sentiment diverges from bullish technical indicators.
- Volatility and ATR considerations: Recent volatility could increase, impacting strategy performance.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish. Conviction level: Medium. One-line trade idea: Consider defined risk strategies to capitalize on expected price movement.
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