TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
PM Trading Analysis - 10/06/2026 03:13 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
PM (Philip Morris International Inc.) at $189.83. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 38% / put 62%, call $83,770 vs put $137,240. RSI 39.9.
- Symbol
- PM
- Price
- $189.83
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- neutral
- Conviction
- low
- Published
- 2026-10-06 15:13:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)Options flow (2026-10-06) sentiment: Bearish
Call Volume: $83,770 (37.9%) Put Volume: $137,240 (62.1%) Total: $221,010
Call contracts 144, put 159; pure directional conviction leans bearish. Divergence: technicals mildly bullish, sentiment bearish. Spread engine flagged divergence, advised wait.
Key Statistics: PM
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (trailing) | 27.20 |
| EPS (trailing 12 mo) | $6.96 |
| Market cap | $295.72B |
| Shares outstanding | 1,558.6M |
Dividend
| Dividend yield | 3.38% |
| Annual dividend | $6.40 |
| Ex-dividend date | 2026-10-02 |
Risk & range
| Beta | 0.08 |
| 52-week low | $142.11 |
| 52-week high | $207.76 |
| Historical volatility | 19.8% |
Ownership & trading
| Institutional ownership | 81.7% |
| Average daily volume | 4.6M sh |
Reported figures; no analyst estimates.
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context
Recent general-knowledge headlines and context for Philip Morris International (PM):
- PM expanded its smoke-free product lines in key European markets, with IQOS device adoption cited as a growth driver in prior quarters.
- The company went ex-dividend on 2026-10-02 with a dividend rate of $6.40 (yield 3.38%), a near-term shareholder catalyst.
- Broad tobacco sector saw defensive rotation amid macro uncertainty, supporting low-beta names like PM (beta 0.08).
- No major earnings event imminent per provided data; next fiscal year end listed as 2025-12-01.
- Headlines suggest stability, but options sentiment (bearish per embedded data) diverges from defensive fundamental appeal.
Fundamental Analysis
Based strictly on provided FUNDAMENTALS data:
- Trailing P/E: 27.20; Trailing EPS: $6.96; Market Cap: $295.72B; Shares Out: 1.56B.
- Dividend Yield: 3.38% (Rate $6.40); Ex-Dividend: 2026-10-02.
- Beta: 0.08 (very low volatility vs market); 52W High: $207.76; 52W Low: $142.11.
- Institutional Ownership: 81.71%; Average Volume: 4.58M.
- Historical Volatility: 19.78%; Fiscal Year End: 2025-12-01.
- PEG, P/B, Revenue, Margins, ROE, D/E, FCF, target price, and analyst consensus: null/not provided.
- Fundamentals show defensive profile (low beta, dividend, institutional base) but lack growth/margin data to confirm trend alignment. Technicals and sentiment (bearish options) diverge from stable fundamental shell.
Current Market Position
Current price per indicators: $189.54 (2026-10-05 close). Minute bars show 2026-10-06 14:45 close at $189.83, up from 2026-10-05 09:30 open of $186.49. Recent daily range 2026-10-05: high $190.09, low $184.11, close $189.54 on volume 2.67M.
Intraday momentum: Price rose from $185.84 (09:30) to $190.50 (14:35) then eased to $189.83; volume spike at 14:35 (392,213).
Technical Analysis
Technical Indicators
SMA 5 (190.43) > SMA 20 (190.35) > SMA 50 (189.98): mild bullish alignment but price ($189.54) below all. RSI 39.90 = weak/near oversold. MACD hist +0.05 = slight bullish. Bollinger mid 190.35, price below = lower half. 30d range: price near middle (low 181.01, high 196.66).
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)
Options flow (2026-10-06) sentiment: Bearish
Call Volume: $83,770 (37.9%) Put Volume: $137,240 (62.1%) Total: $221,010
Call contracts 144, put 159; pure directional conviction leans bearish. Divergence: technicals mildly bullish, sentiment bearish. Spread engine flagged divergence, advised wait.
Key Price Levels (observational only)
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