TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
PM Trading Analysis - 09/15/2026 10:30 AM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
PM (Philip Morris International Inc.) at $192.16. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 74% / put 26%, call $49,190 vs put $17,650. RSI 47.2.
- Symbol
- PM
- Price
- $192.16
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-15 10:30:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $49190.0
- Put dollar volume: $17650.0
The pure directional positioning suggests near-term expectations are positive.
Key Statistics: PM
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 28.00 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | -136.90 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $6.96 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | -171.70% |
| Net Margin | 26.87% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $42.55B |
| Debt/Equity | -11.26 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for Philip Morris International (PM) include:
- PM announced plans to expand its heated tobacco products in Japan.
- The company reported a strong quarterly earnings beat, driven by growth in emerging markets.
- PM's IQOS product received regulatory approval in several new markets, paving the way for increased sales.
These headlines suggest a positive outlook for PM, with potential for growth in new markets and products. This could be a catalyst for the stock's performance.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Revenue: $42.55 billion
- Trailing EPS: $6.96
- Trailing P/E: 27.99
- Gross Margin: 67.51%
- Operating Margin: 37.74%
- Profit Margin: 26.87%
- Debt/Equity: -11.26
- ROE: -1.71%
PM's fundamentals indicate a stable company with a strong profit margin and operating efficiency. However, the negative ROE and high debt/equity ratio raise some concerns.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $192.15
Recent price action: The stock has been trading in a range with a slight upward trend.
Key support and resistance levels:
- Support: $190.00
- Resistance: $195.00
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends:
- SMA 5: $190.71
- SMA 20: $189.43
- SMA 50: $188.91
The stock is trading above its SMA 5, 20, and 50, indicating a bullish trend.
RSI (14): 47.16, which is neutral.
MACD: Bullish with a histogram of 0.13.
Bollinger Bands: The stock is trading near the middle band, indicating a neutral position.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $49190.0
- Put dollar volume: $17650.0
The pure directional positioning suggests near-term expectations are positive.
Key Price Levels:
- Support: $190.00
- Resistance: $195.00
- Entry: $192.00
- Target: $197.00
- Stop Loss: $189.00
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on current trends and indicators, PM is projected for $194.50 to $200.20 in 25 days.
The forecast is based on the current SMA trends, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR).
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, consider the following strategies:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $190.0 call, sell $200.0 call (expiration: 2026-10-16)
- Risk/Reward: 2.5:1
- Iron Condor: Sell $195.0 call, buy $200.0 call, sell $190.0 put, buy $185.0 put (expiration: 2026-10-16)
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: RSI divergence, MACD bearish crossover
- Sentiment divergences: Put-call ratio increase
- Volatility and ATR considerations: High volatility could impact strategy performance
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: High
One-line trade idea: Consider a bull call spread or iron condor strategy.
View PM Options Chain