PBF Trading Analysis - 10/26/2026 12:34 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

News Headlines & Context

The following recent news context is provided from general knowledge and is separate from the data-driven analysis below.

• Refining margin environment remained volatile through Q3 2026 as crude spreads tightened, pressuring independent refiners like PBF Energy.
• PBF announced a regular quarterly dividend with ex-dividend date of August 14, 2026, maintaining a modest 1.44% yield.
• Industry reports highlighted elevated East Coast refinery utilization but softer gasoline demand versus prior year.
• No major earnings release was scheduled between the last daily data point (Oct 23, 2026) and the Oct 26 sentiment capture; next catalyst likely tied to November macro inventory data.
• Headlines suggest fundamental caution, which contrasts with the strongly bullish options flow observed in the embedded sentiment data.

Fundamental Analysis

Based strictly on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data:

• Trailing P/E is 6.60 with trailing EPS of 11.52, indicating a low valuation relative to broader market averages.
• Market cap is 9,639,428,840.00 with shares outstanding of 118,537,000.00.
• Dividend yield is 1.44% with dividend rate of 1.10 and ex-dividend date of 2026-08-14.
• Beta is 0.04, showing extremely low correlation to broader market moves.
• 52-week high is 92.46 and 52-week low is 25.62; current price near 76.00 is closer to the high end of the annual range.
• Institutional ownership is 54.61%.
• Average volume is 2,886,000.00 and historical volatility is 64.39%.
• PEG ratio, forward P/E, price-to-book, total revenue, revenue growth, ROE, profit margins, debt-to-equity, and free cash flow are all null/unavailable.
• Analyst consensus and target price are null; no Wall Street target context is available.
• Fundamentals show a cheap earnings multiple but lack of margin and growth data limits confirmation; low beta and decent institutional hold contrast with weak recent price trend in technicals.

Current Market Position

Minute bars show the first bar on 2026-10-23 14:30 opened at 79.39 and closed at 76.02 after a low of 75.94. By 2026-10-26 12:05 the stock traded at 81.03, up from the Oct 23 close. Last five minute bars ranged between 80.89 and 81.14 with low volume (8,274 to 12,086 per bar), indicating quiet intraday consolidation near 81.00.

Daily history shows a drop from 91.31 on Oct 13 to 76.00 on Oct 23, then partial recovery into minute data at 81.03. Recent daily closes: Oct 22 at 79.19, Oct 23 at 76.00, and embedded indicators current price at 76.00 (lagged to Oct 23).

Technical Analysis

• Price (76.00 indicator / 81.03 minute) is below SMA 5 (80.47), SMA 20 (82.67), but above SMA 50 (77.11) — bearish short-term alignment vs longer support.
• RSI at 38.59 shows weak momentum, nearing oversold but not extreme.
• MACD line 1.26 above signal 1.01 with histogram 0.25 indicates mild bullish crossover persistence.
• Bollinger Bands: price below middle (82.67), within lower half; no squeeze signal given wide 73.76–91.59 channel.
• 30-day range high 92.46, low 68.40; current near 81 sits upper-mid of range, but indicator snapshot at 76 sits lower-mid.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)

Options flow via True Sentiment (Delta 40-60 only):

Call Volume: 4,194,640.00 (99.6%) Put Volume: 18,690.00 (0.4%) Total: 4,213,330.00

• Call contracts 5,153 vs put contracts 21 — extreme directional conviction to upside.
• Sentiment tagged Bullish with only 3.4% of total options filtered into pure directional set.
• Near-term expectations imply strong bullish positioning despite weak technicals.
• Divergence: option spread engine returned no recommendation due to "Divergence detected between technical indicators and options sentiment."

Key Price Levels (Observational Only)