TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
PAYC Trading Analysis - 10/14/2026 01:57 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
PAYC (PAYCOM SOFTWARE INC.) at $237.57. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 28% / put 72%, call $3,890 vs put $10,050. RSI 67.1.
- Symbol
- PAYC
- Price
- $237.57
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- neutral
- Conviction
- low
- Published
- 2026-10-14 13:57:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)Options flow sentiment is Bearish. Call dollar volume 3,890.00 (27.9%), put dollar volume 10,050.00 (72.1%), total 13,940.00. Only 3 true-sentiment options of 570 analyzed (0.5% filter). Conviction shows put-side directional bets. Divergence: technicals bullish, sentiment bearish per spread advice "Wait for alignment".
Call Volume: 3,890.00 (27.9%) Put Volume: 10,050.00 (72.1%) Total: 13,940.00
Key Statistics: PAYC
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (trailing) | 25.00 |
| EPS (trailing 12 mo) | $9.47 |
| Market cap | $10.71B |
| Shares outstanding | 45.1M |
Dividend
| Dividend yield | 0.63% |
| Annual dividend | $1.50 |
| Ex-dividend date | 2026-08-24 |
Risk & range
| Beta | 0.06 |
| 52-week low | $104.90 |
| 52-week high | $244.98 |
| Historical volatility | 30.8% |
Ownership & trading
| Institutional ownership | 60.5% |
| Average daily volume | 0.7M sh |
Reported figures; no analyst estimates.
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context
Paycom Software (PAYC) has seen steady enterprise payroll adoption headlines through late 2026, with general knowledge suggesting continued HCM software demand. Recent context includes broad SaaS multiple stabilization and low-beta defensiveness amid macro uncertainty. No specific PAYC earnings date is flagged in the provided data, but the ex-dividend date of 2026-08-24 and low 0.06 beta imply reduced systemic sensitivity. Headlines of payroll automation expansion contrast with the embedded options sentiment showing bearish directional conviction, a divergence that may reflect hedging rather than fundamental deterioration.
- General knowledge: HCM software demand remains steady into Q4 2026
- Low-beta (0.06) profile noted in fundamentals suggests defensiveness
- No catalyst from embedded data; ex-dividend passed in August 2026
- Headline tone constructive, but options flow counters with bearish read
Fundamental Analysis
Based strictly on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data: trailing P/E is 25.00 with trailing EPS of 9.47. Market cap is 10,707,980,400.00 and shares outstanding 45,072,000.00. Dividend yield is 0.63% with rate 1.50 and ex-dividend 2026-08-24. Beta is 0.06, 52-week high 244.98 and low 104.90. Institutional ownership is 60.51%. Average volume 650,000.00 and historical volatility 30.80%. Forward P/E, PEG, profit margins, revenue growth, ROE, Debt/Equity, and FCF are null. Analyst consensus and target price are null.
Valuation shows P/E 25.00 with no PEG for comparison. Strengths: low beta, profitable EPS, institutional base. Concerns: missing margin and growth data, no analyst target. Fundamentals show stability but diverge from bearish options sentiment while aligning with bullish technicals via low volatility.
Current Market Position
Current price from indicators is 236.91 (2026-10-13 close). Minute bars show 2026-10-13 open 235.97, high 237.80, low 235.65, close 237.80 early; 2026-10-14 13:30 close 237.58 with range 237.28-237.76. Intraday momentum is flat-to-slightly-up with low volume (2,126 at final bar). Recent daily action: 30-day high 244.98, low 212.40; price near upper third.
Technical Analysis
Technical Indicators
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