TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
NFLX Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 02:30 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
NFLX (NetFlix Inc) at $77.20. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 62% / put 38%, call $6,131,965 vs put $3,840,372. RSI 43.1.
- Symbol
- NFLX
- Price
- $77.20
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 14:30:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
| Call | Put |
|---|---|
| $6,131,965 | $3,840,372 |
The pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Statistics: NFLX
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | -8.23 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 32.53 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $-9.24 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 45.27% |
| Net Margin | 28.22% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $48.37B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.94 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for NFLX include:
- NFLX has been investing heavily in content production, with a focus on original series and movies.
- The company has been expanding its service to new markets, including Asia and Europe.
- NFLX has faced increased competition from other streaming services, such as Disney+ and HBO Max.
These headlines suggest that NFLX is focused on growth through content production and market expansion, but faces increasing competition in the streaming space.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data:
- Total Revenue: $48,370,764,000
- Trailing EPS: -$9.24
- Trailing P/E: -8.23
- Price-to-Book: 32.53
- Debt-to-Equity: 0.94
- Return on Equity (ROE): 45.27%
- Gross Margins: 49.12%
- Operating Margins: 29.68%
- Profit Margins: 28.22%
The fundamentals indicate that NFLX has a high price-to-book ratio and negative trailing EPS, which may be a concern for investors. However, the company has a strong ROE and healthy profit margins.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $77.16
Recent price action: The stock has been trading in a range with a slight upward trend.
Key support and resistance levels:
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Support | $75.00 |
| Resistance | $80.00 |
Intraday momentum and trends: The stock is showing a slight upward trend in the intraday charts.
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends:
| SMA | Price |
|---|---|
| 5-day SMA | $76.84 |
| 20-day SMA | $79.43 |
| 50-day SMA | $75.70 |
RSI (14): 43.1
MACD: Bullish
Bollinger Bands: The stock is trading near the middle band.
30-day high/low: The stock is trading near the upper end of the 30-day range.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
| Call | Put |
|---|---|
| $6,131,965 | $3,840,372 |
The pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Price Levels:
Support: $75.00
Resistance: $80.00
Entry: $77.50
Target: $82.00
Stop Loss: $74.00
25-Day Price Forecast:
NFLX is projected for $78.50 to $82.50
Rationale: Based on current SMA trends, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR), the stock is expected to continue its upward trend with potential resistance at $82.50.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast:
- Strategy 1: Bull Call Spread - Buy 1 $80 Call, Sell 1 $82.5 Call (expiration: 2026-10-16)
- Strategy 2: Iron Condor - Sell 1 $77.5 Put, Buy 1 $75 Put, Buy 1 $82.5 Call, Sell 1 $85 Call (expiration: 2026-10-16)
- Strategy 3: Protective Put - Buy 1 $75 Put (expiration: 2026-10-16)
These strategies align with the projected price range and provide defined risk.
Risk Factors:
Technical warning signs:
- High price-to-book ratio
- Negative trailing EPS
Sentiment divergences:
- Options sentiment is bullish, but technicals show no clear direction
Volatility and ATR considerations:
- ATR (14): 2.08
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: Buy NFLX near $77.50 with a target of $82.00 and stop loss at $74.00.
View NFLX Options Chain