TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
NBIS Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 04:10 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
NBIS (Nebius Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares) at $224.26. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 73% / put 27%, call $19,871,030 vs put $7,455,700. RSI 52.2.
- Symbol
- NBIS
- Price
- $224.26
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 16:10:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: The call dollar volume is significantly higher than the put dollar volume, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Pure directional positioning: The options flow suggests that investors are positioning for a potential uptrend in the stock.
Key Statistics: NBIS
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news and social media posts indicate a bullish sentiment towards NBIS, with several users expressing optimism about the stock's potential. Some notable headlines and posts include:
- JonahLupton: "For real, I need to stop listening to $NBIS speak at these conferences because it just makes me want to buy more stock" (link)
- tradesandtime: "Twenty-year-old VLCCs charter at premiums when tonnage runs short. Four-year-old GPUs clearing +20% tells me the same: demand outruns supply by a wide margin. That supports leasing spreads at $CRWV and $NBIS" (link)
- gabrielle_nurse: "$NBIS :+11.8% $IREN : +8.5% $OKLO :+7.6% $CCJ : +4.2%" (link)
These posts suggest that NBIS is gaining attention and optimism from investors and analysts, potentially driving its stock price higher.
X/Twitter Sentiment (live xAI x_search, cited only):
| User | Post | Sentiment | Time | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JonahLupton | For real, I need to stop listening to $NBIS speak at these conferences because it just makes me want to buy more stock | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:57:34 GMT | link |
| tradesandtime | Twenty-year-old VLCCs charter at premiums when tonnage runs short. Four-year-old GPUs clearing +20% tells me the same: demand outruns supply by a wide margin. That supports leasing spreads at $CRWV and $NBIS. | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:56:38 GMT | link |
| gabrielle_nurse | Recently , these names are leading the charge — a broad rally across AI, semiconductors, and energy: $SNDK :+12.4% $MU : +9.7% $CRWV :+15.9% $BE : +10.9% $NBIS :+11.8% $IREN : +8.5% $OKLO :+7.6% $CCJ : +4.2% | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:47:27 GMT | link |
| topsecretstocks | SuperGrowthPortfolio Snapshot $ASTS $NBIS $RKLB $ZETA $HIMS $SOFI $VOYG $CLOV $NU $DLO ... | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:40:35 GMT | link |
| Richard_TGL | $NBIS Interesting Burry update: he exited his Dec-26 NVDA/PLTR puts and trimmed risk across the portfolio, although NBIS remains his #3 short. | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:35:06 GMT | link |
| contagemvasco | Microsoft’s looking to more than triple global data center capacity — from ~12GW today to 38GW+ by 2032. | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:33:11 GMT | link |
| Richard_TGL | $IREN $CIFR $NBIS $WULF $APLD This is what you want to see. Gov start investing in AI infra! | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:33:06 GMT | link |
| maxwilliamson__ | $NBIS vs $IREN is so stupid imo The two aren't really competing for the same investor. | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:33:00 GMT | link |
Summary: The live X posts show a predominantly bullish sentiment towards NBIS, with users expressing optimism about the stock's potential and its position in the AI and semiconductor rally.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided data, a detailed fundamental analysis is not feasible. However, the TRUE SENTIMENT OPTIONS data shows:
- Call dollar volume: $19,871,030
- Put dollar volume: $7,455,700
- Total dollar volume: $27,326,730
- Call contracts: 8849
- Put contracts: 4746
- Call trades: 106
- Put trades: 53
- Call %: 72.7%
- Put %: 27.3%
The options flow sentiment is bullish, with a higher call dollar volume and contract ratio.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $224.14
Recent price action: The stock has been trading in a range, with a recent high of $234.95 and a low of $223.64.
Key support and resistance levels:
- Support: $223.64 (recent low)
- Resistance: $234.95 (recent high)
Intraday momentum and trends:
- RSI (14): 52.18
- MACD: 2.06 (bullish)
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends:
- SMA 5: $232.57
- SMA 20: $225.80
- SMA 50: $211.67
The stock is currently trading below the SMA 5 and above the SMA 20 and SMA 50.
RSI interpretation: The RSI is neutral, indicating no clear overbought or oversold conditions.
MACD signals: The MACD is bullish, indicating a potential uptrend.
Bollinger Bands position: The stock is trading near the middle of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a neutral position.
30-day high/low context: The stock is trading near the lower end of its 30-day range.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: The call dollar volume is significantly higher than the put dollar volume, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Pure directional positioning: The options flow suggests that investors are positioning for a potential uptrend in the stock.
Key Price Levels (observational only):
- Support: $223.64 (recent low)
- Resistance: $234.95 (recent high)
- Entry: $228.50
- Target: $240.00
- Stop Loss: $220.00
25-Day Price Forecast:
NBIS is projected for $230.00 to $250.00
Rationale:
- Current SMA trends: The stock is trading above the SMA 20 and SMA 50, indicating a potential uptrend.
- RSI momentum: The RSI is neutral, but the MACD is bullish, indicating a potential uptrend.
- Recent volatility (ATR): The ATR is 13.66, indicating a moderate level of volatility.
- Support/resistance levels: The stock is trading near the lower end of its 30-day range, with potential resistance at $234.95.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the 25-day price forecast, here are three defined risk strategy recommendations:
-
Bull Call Spread:
- Buy 1 call at $230.0 strike, expiring on 2026-10-16
- Sell 1 call at $240.0 strike, expiring on 2026-10-16
This strategy benefits from a potential uptrend in the stock, with a limited risk and reward.
-
Iron Condor:
- Buy 1 put at $220.0 strike, expiring on 2026-10-16
- Sell 1 put at $225.0 strike, expiring on 2026-10-16
- Buy 1 call at $235.0 strike, expiring on 2026-10-16
- Sell 1 call at $240.0 strike, expiring on 2026-10-16
This strategy benefits from a stable or slightly uptrending stock price, with a limited risk and reward.
-
Protective Put:
- Buy 1 put at $225.0 strike, expiring on 2026-10-16
This strategy provides protection against a potential downtrend in the stock, with a limited cost.
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs or weaknesses: A potential breakdown below the SMA 20 or SMA 50 could indicate a downtrend.
- Sentiment divergences from price action: A divergence between the options flow sentiment and the stock price could indicate a potential reversal.
- Volatility and ATR considerations: An increase in volatility could impact the stock price and the effectiveness of the defined risk strategies.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: Consider a bull call spread or iron condor to benefit from a potential uptrend in NBIS.
View NBIS Options Chain