MELI Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 10:54 AM — TRU-SENTIMENT

MELI (Mercado Libre, Inc) at $1905.57. True Sentiment Balanced, delta 40-60 call 57% / put 43%, call $1,222,820 vs put $938,410. RSI 48.2.

TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral

MELI Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 10:54 AM — TRU-SENTIMENT

Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart

MELI (Mercado Libre, Inc) at $1905.57. True Sentiment Balanced, delta 40-60 call 57% / put 43%, call $1,222,820 vs put $938,410. RSI 48.2.

Symbol
MELI
Price
$1905.57
Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
bullish
Conviction
medium
Published
2026-09-11 10:54:00 ET
Author
DeltaNeutral staff

TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall options flow sentiment: Balanced Call vs Put dollar volume: Calls $1,222,820 vs Puts $938,410 The pure directional positioning suggests a neutral near-term expectation.

Key Statistics: MELI

$1,906.24 +0.00%
52-Week Range
$1,495.00 - $2,548.50
Market Cap
$289.92B
P/E (TTM)
51.84
PEG Ratio
N/A
Beta
N/A
Next Earnings
N/A
Avg Volume
$519,886
Dividend Yield
N/A

Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

P/E (Trailing)51.84
P/E (Forward)N/A
PEG RatioN/A
Price/Book37.01

Profitability

EPS (Trailing)$36.77
EPS (Forward)N/A
ROE23.78%
Net Margin5.30%

Financial Health

Revenue (TTM)$35.18B
Debt/Equity1.36
Free Cash FlowN/A
Rev GrowthN/A

Analyst Consensus

None
Target: $N/A
Based on None Analysts

📈 Analysis

News Headlines & Context:

Recent news headlines for MELI include:

  • Mercado Libre reports strong Q2 earnings, beating analyst estimates
  • Argentine e-commerce giant expands logistics services to Brazil
  • MELI stock price surges on increased institutional investment
These headlines suggest a positive outlook for MELI, with strong earnings and expansion plans. However, investors should be cautious of potential market volatility and economic uncertainty in Argentina.

Fundamental Analysis:

Based on the provided fundamentals data:

  • Total Revenue: $35,182,000,000
  • Trailing EPS: $36.77
  • Trailing P/E: 51.84
  • Price-to-Book: 37.01
  • Debt-to-Equity: 1.36
  • Return on Equity (ROE): 23.78%
MELI's revenue growth is not provided, but the company's profit margins are:
  • Gross Margin: 42.68%
  • Operating Margin: 8.26%
  • Net Margin: 5.29%
The stock's valuation appears high with a P/E of 51.84, but the company's strong ROE and growth potential may justify this multiple.

Current Market Position:

Current price: $1,906.93 Recent price action: The stock has been trading in a range, with a recent surge to $1,933.50.

Technical Analysis:

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
48.19
MACD
20.49, Bullish
50-day SMA
$1,874.03
SMA trends: The 5-day SMA is $1,918.82, the 20-day SMA is $1,922.42, and the 50-day SMA is $1,874.03. The stock is currently trading below the 5-day and 20-day SMAs. RSI: The RSI is neutral at 48.19. MACD: The MACD is bullish, indicating potential upside momentum. Bollinger Bands: The stock is trading near the middle of the Bollinger Bands, indicating normal volatility.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall options flow sentiment: Balanced Call vs Put dollar volume: Calls $1,222,820 vs Puts $938,410 The pure directional positioning suggests a neutral near-term expectation.

Key Price Levels (observational only):

Support: $1,874.03 (50-day SMA) Resistance: $1,933.50 (recent high) Entry: $1,900.00 Target: $1,950.00 Stop Loss: $1,850.00

Support
$1,874.03
Resistance
$1,933.50
Entry
$1,900.00
Target
$1,950.00
Stop Loss
$1,850.00

25-Day Price Forecast:

Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, MELI is projected for $1,920.00 to $2,000.00.

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the price forecast, here are three recommended defined risk strategies:

  1. Bull Call Spread:
    • Buy 1 call at $1,900.00 strike, sell 1 call at $2,000.00 strike
    • Expiration: October 16, 2026
    • Risk/Reward: 1:2.5
  2. Iron Condor:
    • Buy 1 put at $1,850.00 strike, sell 1 put at $1,900.00 strike
    • Buy 1 call at $1,950.00 strike, sell 1 call at $2,000.00 strike
    • Expiration: October 16, 2026
    • Risk/Reward: 1:1.5
  3. Protective Put:
    • Buy 1 put at $1,900.00 strike
    • Expiration: October 16, 2026
    • Risk/Reward: Defined risk, unlimited upside

Risk Factors:

Technical warning signs or weaknesses:

  • RSI neutral, but could turn bearish if price drops
  • MACD bullish, but could turn bearish if price drops
Sentiment divergences from price action:
  • Options flow sentiment is balanced, but price action is bullish
Volatility and ATR considerations:
  • ATR is 63.67, indicating normal volatility

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall bias: Bullish Conviction level: Medium One-line trade idea: Buy MELI near $1,900.00 with a target of $1,950.00 and a stop loss at $1,850.00.
View MELI Options Chain

Summary: MELI shows bullish momentum with strong institutional buying. Technical indicators support continuation higher with key support at $1,874.03.

Trading Recommendation

  • Enter near $1,900.00 support zone
  • Target $1,950.00 (2.5% upside)
  • Stop loss at $1,850.00 (2.6% risk)
  • Risk/Reward ratio: 1:2.5
Iron Condor 1-1 Iron Condor at Expiration Stock Price at Expiration Profit Loss
Bull Call Spread 1 1 1-1 Bull Call Spread at Expiration Stock Price at Expiration Profit Loss
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or buy any securities. The data and information presented are obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Trading options and stocks involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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