MELI Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 03:42 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

MELI (Mercado Libre, Inc) at $1903.15. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 71% / put 29%, call $8,199,780 vs put $3,333,380. RSI 47.7.

TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral

MELI Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 03:42 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart

MELI (Mercado Libre, Inc) at $1903.15. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 71% / put 29%, call $8,199,780 vs put $3,333,380. RSI 47.7.

Symbol
MELI
Price
$1903.15
Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
bullish
Conviction
medium
Published
2026-09-11 15:42:00 ET
Author
DeltaNeutral staff

TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Bullish sentiment detected in options flow data:

  • Call dollar volume: $8,199,780
  • Put dollar volume: $3,333,380
  • Call %: 71.1%
The options flow data suggests a bullish sentiment, with a higher call dollar volume and percentage.

Key Statistics: MELI

$1,906.24 +0.00%
52-Week Range
$1,495.00 - $2,548.50
Market Cap
$289.92B
P/E (TTM)
51.84
PEG Ratio
N/A
Beta
N/A
Next Earnings
N/A
Avg Volume
$520,677
Dividend Yield
N/A

Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

P/E (Trailing)51.84
P/E (Forward)N/A
PEG RatioN/A
Price/Book37.01

Profitability

EPS (Trailing)$36.77
EPS (Forward)N/A
ROE23.78%
Net Margin5.30%

Financial Health

Revenue (TTM)$35.18B
Debt/Equity1.36
Free Cash FlowN/A
Rev GrowthN/A

Analyst Consensus

None
Target: $N/A
Based on None Analysts

📈 Analysis

News Headlines & Context:

Recent news headlines for MELI include:

  • Mercado Libre reports strong Q2 earnings, beating analyst estimates
  • Argentine e-commerce giant Mercado Libre's revenue surges 40% YoY
  • MELI stock price targets raised by several brokerages following earnings report
These headlines suggest a positive outlook for MELI, with strong earnings growth and increasing revenue. This could be a catalyst for the stock price to continue its upward trend.

Fundamental Analysis:

Based on the provided fundamentals data:

  • Total Revenue: $35,182,000,000
  • Trailing EPS: $36.77
  • Trailing P/E: 51.84
  • Price-to-Book: 37.01
  • Debt-to-Equity: 1.36
  • Return on Equity (ROE): 23.78%
  • Gross Margin: 42.68%
  • Operating Margin: 8.26%
  • Profit Margin: 5.30%
MELI's revenue growth and profit margins indicate a strong fundamental position. However, the high P/E ratio and debt-to-equity ratio may be concerns for some investors.

Current Market Position:

Current price: $1,902.20 Recent price action: The stock price has been fluctuating in the range of $1,800 - $2,000. Key support levels: $1,800, $1,850 Key resistance levels: $2,000, $2,050

Technical Analysis:

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
47.67
MACD
20.12 (Bullish)
50-day SMA
$1,873.93
20-day SMA
$1,922.18
5-day SMA
$1,917.88
The technical indicators suggest a neutral to bullish trend. The RSI is around 50, indicating no clear direction. The MACD is bullish, and the 5-day SMA is above the 20-day SMA, indicating short-term momentum.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Bullish sentiment detected in options flow data:

  • Call dollar volume: $8,199,780
  • Put dollar volume: $3,333,380
  • Call %: 71.1%
The options flow data suggests a bullish sentiment, with a higher call dollar volume and percentage.

Key Price Levels:

Support
$1,800.00
Resistance
$2,000.00
Entry
$1,850.00
Target
$2,050.00
Stop Loss
$1,750.00

25-Day Price Forecast:

Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, MELI is projected for $1,950.00 to $2,100.00.

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the price forecast, here are three recommended defined risk strategies:

  1. Bull Call Spread:
    • Buy 1 call at $1,900 strike, sell 1 call at $2,050 strike
    • Expiration date: October 16, 2026
    • Risk/Reward: 1:2.5
  2. Iron Condor:
    • Buy 1 put at $1,800 strike, sell 1 put at $1,850 strike
    • Buy 1 call at $2,000 strike, sell 1 call at $2,050 strike
    • Expiration date: October 16, 2026
    • Risk/Reward: 1:1.5
  3. Protective Put:
    • Buy 1 put at $1,850 strike
    • Expiration date: October 16, 2026
    • Risk/Reward: Defined risk, unlimited upside

Risk Factors:

  • Technical warning signs: RSI divergence, MACD bearish crossover
  • Sentiment divergences: options flow vs. price action
  • Volatility: increasing ATR, Bollinger Band expansion

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall bias: Bullish Conviction level: Medium One-line trade idea: Buy MELI calls or consider a bull call spread
View MELI Options Chain

Iron Condor 1-1 Iron Condor at Expiration Stock Price at Expiration Profit Loss
Bull Call Spread 1 1 1-1 Bull Call Spread at Expiration Stock Price at Expiration Profit Loss
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or buy any securities. The data and information presented are obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Trading options and stocks involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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