TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral

MELI Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 02:59 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart

MELI (Mercado Libre, Inc) at $1899.26. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 75% / put 25%, call $6,133,970 vs put $2,038,730. RSI 47.3.

Symbol: MELI
Price: $1899.26
Article bias (separate from True Sentiment): bullish
Conviction: medium
Published: 2026-09-11 14:59:00 ET
Author: DeltaNeutral staff

TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish Call vs Put dollar volume analysis:

Call dollar volume: $6,133,970
Put dollar volume: $2,038,730

The pure directional positioning suggests a bullish near-term expectation.

Key Statistics: MELI

$1,906.24 +0.00%

52-Week Range

$1,495.00 - $2,548.50

Market Cap

$289.92B

P/E (TTM)

51.84

PEG Ratio

N/A

Beta

N/A

Next Earnings

N/A

Avg Volume

$520,554

Dividend Yield

N/A

Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

P/E (Trailing)	51.84
P/E (Forward)	N/A
PEG Ratio	N/A
Price/Book	37.01

Profitability

EPS (Trailing)	$36.77
EPS (Forward)	N/A
ROE	23.78%
Net Margin	5.30%

Financial Health

Revenue (TTM)	$35.18B
Debt/Equity	1.36
Free Cash Flow	N/A
Rev Growth	N/A

Analyst Consensus

None

Target: $N/A

Based on None Analysts

📈 Analysis

News Headlines & Context:

Fundamental Analysis:

Based on the provided fundamentals data:

Total Revenue: $35,182,000,000
Trailing EPS: $36.77
Trailing P/E: 51.84
Price-to-Book: 37.01
Debt-to-Equity: 1.36
Return on Equity (ROE): 23.78%

MELI's revenue growth is not provided, but the company's high P/E ratio and price-to-book ratio may indicate overvaluation. However, the strong ROE and operating margins (8.26%) suggest a solid financial position.

Current Market Position:

Current price: $1,899.00 Recent price action: The stock has shown a bullish trend, with a recent surge in price. Key support and resistance levels:

Support: $1,875.00 (from daily history)
Resistance: $2,000.00 (from option chain)

Technical Analysis:

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)

47.33

MACD

Bullish

50-day SMA

$1,873.87

MELI's RSI is neutral, while the MACD is bullish. The 50-day SMA is $1,873.87, which is close to the current price.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish Call vs Put dollar volume analysis:

Call dollar volume: $6,133,970
Put dollar volume: $2,038,730

The pure directional positioning suggests a bullish near-term expectation.

Key Price Levels (observational only):

Support

$1,875.00

Resistance

$2,000.00

Entry

$1,890.00

Target

$2,050.00

Stop Loss

$1,850.00

25-Day Price Forecast:

Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, MELI is projected for $1,920.00 to $2,080.00.

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the price forecast, here are three recommended defined risk strategies:

Bull Call Spread:
- Buy 1 call at $1,900.00 strike
- Sell 1 call at $2,000.00 strike
- Expiration date: 2026-10-16
Iron Condor:
- Buy 1 put at $1,850.00 strike
- Sell 1 put at $1,900.00 strike
- Buy 1 call at $2,000.00 strike
- Sell 1 call at $2,050.00 strike
- Expiration date: 2026-10-16
Protective Put:
- Buy 1 put at $1,900.00 strike
- Expiration date: 2026-10-16

Risk Factors:

Technical warning signs: RSI neutral, potential overbought
Sentiment divergences: options flow bullish, but technicals neutral
Volatility: ATR 64.20, potential for increased volatility

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall bias: Bullish Conviction level: Medium One-line trade idea: Buy MELI with a defined risk strategy.
View MELI Options Chain

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or buy any securities. The data and information presented are obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Trading options and stocks involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.