TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
MAT Trading Analysis - 09/16/2026 03:06 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
MAT (Mattel, Inc.) at $13.24. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 28% / put 72%, call $580 vs put $1,465. RSI 21.8.
- Symbol
- MAT
- Price
- $13.24
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bearish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-16 15:06:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Options flow sentiment: Bearish
Call vs Put dollar volume: 28.4% calls, 71.6% puts
The options flow sentiment is bearish, with a higher put dollar volume, indicating a negative outlook for the stock.
Key Statistics: MAT
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 10.01 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 1.94 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $1.34 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 21.39% |
| Net Margin | 7.78% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.49B |
| Debt/Equity | 1.17 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for MAT include:
- Mattel, Inc. (MAT) has been in focus due to its consistent dividend payments, with a recent quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share.
- The company has been experiencing a decline in its stock price, which could be attributed to the overall market sentiment and consumer spending trends.
- MAT has also been impacted by the global supply chain disruptions, affecting its production and distribution.
These headlines suggest that MAT is navigating through challenging market conditions, which could be influencing its stock performance.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Total Revenue: $5,489,929,000
- Trailing EPS: $1.34
- Trailing P/E: 10.01
- Price-to-Book: 1.94
- Debt-to-Equity: 1.17
- Return on Equity (ROE): 21.39%
The company's revenue and EPS indicate a stable financial position. However, the P/E ratio and price-to-book ratio suggest that the stock might be undervalued. The debt-to-equity ratio and ROE indicate a relatively healthy balance sheet and profitability.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $13.25
Recent price action shows a decline in the stock price, with the current price near the lower end of its 30-day range.
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
The RSI indicates oversold conditions, while the MACD shows a bearish signal. The 50-day SMA is above the current price, indicating a downtrend.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Options flow sentiment: Bearish
Call vs Put dollar volume: 28.4% calls, 71.6% puts
The options flow sentiment is bearish, with a higher put dollar volume, indicating a negative outlook for the stock.
Key Price Levels:
Key support level: $13.00
Key resistance level: $14.50
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on current trends and indicators, MAT is projected for $12.50 to $14.00.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, recommended strategies include:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $13.0 call, sell $14.0 call
- Bear Put Spread: Buy $14.0 put, sell $13.0 put
- Iron Condor: Sell $13.0 call, buy $14.0 call, sell $14.0 put, buy $13.0 put
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: RSI oversold conditions
- Sentiment divergences: bearish options flow
- Volatility: ATR 0.39
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bearish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: Consider bear put spreads or iron condors to capitalize on potential downside movement.
View MAT Options Chain