TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
LLY Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 02:27 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
LLY (Eli Lilly & Co.) at $1120.92. True Sentiment Balanced, delta 40-60 call 49% / put 51%, call $4,431,010 vs put $4,548,920. RSI 2.6.
- Symbol
- LLY
- Price
- $1120.92
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- neutral
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 14:27:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Balanced
Call vs Put dollar volume: $4,431,010 (calls) vs $4,548,920 (puts)
Pure directional positioning suggests a neutral near-term expectation.
Key Statistics: LLY
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 37.70 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 59.44 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $29.79 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 78.84% |
| Net Margin | 33.53% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $79.67B |
| Debt/Equity | 3.20 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for LLY include:
- LLY showing up near the top of DEFINTEL's automated scan of September 10, driven by technical/momentum factors, options-market structure, and corporate actions.
- $LLY giving a lot of signals of upcoming obesity BD, potentially staying involved in the obesity space like $NVO and $PFE.
- $LLY’s past experience in bone health with Forteo and the potential for GLP-1 drugs to improve health for women with PCOS/PMOS.
These headlines suggest potential positive developments for LLY, particularly in the areas of obesity and women's health. The technical and momentum factors, along with corporate actions, may be contributing to a bullish sentiment.
X/Twitter Sentiment (live xAI x_search, cited only):
| User | Post | Sentiment | Time | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bioinvestor24 | $NVO giving a lot of signals of upcoming obesity BD. Obviously they need confidence and enough data prior to move .. but I don’t believe $LLY will stay on the side this time like it did with $PFE / $NVO battle … There is also $ABBv $BMY $AMGN and others. Still beleive will have interesting upcoming Wks and months in obesity. … | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:56:01 GMT | https://x.com/bioinvestor24/status/2098198842239746102 |
| JayTraderX | $UNH $LLY $CVS: Healthcare IDs. $UNH is the sloppy one (previous day 406.53 / 378.08 is too wide). $LLY tighter (768.00 / 753.30 vs 767.49 / 757.80). Don’t lead $UNH. | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:00:05 GMT | https://x.com/JayTraderX/status/2098184768802189328 |
| ScripMandy | This makes sense given $LLY’s past experience in bone health with Forteo and the potential for GLP-1 drugs to improve health for women with PCOS/PMOS. | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 21:15:08 GMT | https://x.com/ScripMandy/status/2098158355609186536 |
| defintel_net | $LLY: LLY is showing up near the top of DEFINTEL's automated scan of September 10, driven by technical/momentum factors, options-market structure and corporate actions. | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 20:57:06 GMT | https://x.com/defintel_net/status/2098153815744614517 |
| Trade_Intel_ | 🔴Top Down Trending Stocks - $LLY (13 consecutive days below its 5-day MA) | Bearish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 20:39:48 GMT | https://x.com/Trade_Intel_/status/2098149463814795551 |
One-sentence summary: LLY is seeing mixed signals on X/Twitter, with bullish posts about potential obesity deals and women's health expansion, and bearish posts about trending below its 5-day MA.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data:
- Revenue: $79,665,800,000
- Trailing EPS: $29.79
- Trailing P/E: 37.70
- Debt/Equity: 3.20
- Return on Equity: 0.79
- Gross Margins: 0.83
- Operating Margins: 0.42
- Profit Margins: 0.34
LLY's fundamentals show strong revenue, healthy profit margins, and a reasonable P/E ratio. However, the high debt/equity ratio may be a concern.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $1120.74
Recent price action: The stock has been trending below its 5-day MA, according to Trade_Intel_.
Support and resistance levels: Not explicitly provided, but the 50-day SMA is $1184.76.
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
SMA trends: The stock is currently below its 50-day SMA of $1184.76.
RSI: The RSI is 2.57, indicating oversold conditions.
MACD: The MACD is -18.55, indicating a bearish signal.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Balanced
Call vs Put dollar volume: $4,431,010 (calls) vs $4,548,920 (puts)
Pure directional positioning suggests a neutral near-term expectation.
Key Price Levels (observational only):
25-Day Price Forecast:
LLY is projected for $1085.00 to $1150.00
Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock may continue to trade in a range-bound manner.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, consider the following defined risk strategies:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $1120.0 call, sell $1150.0 call
- Bear Put Spread: Buy $1100.0 put, sell $1070.0 put
- Iron Condor: Sell $1120.0 call, buy $1150.0 call, sell $1100.0 put, buy $1070.0 put
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: Trending below 5-day MA
- Sentiment divergences: Mixed signals on X/Twitter
- Volatility: ATR not explicitly provided
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Neutral
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: Consider range-bound strategies given mixed signals and technical indicators.
View LLY Options Chain