KKR Trading Analysis - 10/06/2026 03:51 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

News Headlines & Context

Recent general-knowledge headlines and context relevant to KKR & Co. (not derived from embedded data):

• KKR reported steady asset-growth in private equity and infrastructure funds through mid-2026, though realized exit activity remained muted versus 2025.
• In September 2026, broad alternative-asset managers sold off amid rising rate-cut uncertainty and leveraged-credit spread widening.
• KKR's ex-dividend date passed on 2026-08-10 with a $0.78 annual dividend (yield ~0.87%), a minor factor for total return.
• No specific near-term earnings date was flagged in provided data; fiscal year end was 2025-12-01.
• Macro headline risk: high-beta financials (KKR beta 2.05) remain sensitive to credit and rate volatility, likely contributing to the steep August–October price decline seen in the daily history.

Context: The general news backdrop of credit-spread anxiety and rate uncertainty aligns with the embedded data showing a sharp drop from $111.64 (30-day high) to $88.55 (30-day low) and bearish options flow.

Fundamental Analysis

Based strictly on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data for KKR:

• Trailing P/E: 26.80; Trailing EPS: $3.36
• Market Cap: $81.47B; Shares Out: 897.64M
• Dividend Yield: 0.87%; Rate: $0.78; Ex-date: 2026-08-10
• Beta: 2.05 (highly volatile vs market)
• 52-Week Range: $82.67 – $144.84
• Institutional Ownership: 60.11%
• Avg Volume: 4.12M; Historical Volatility: 26.86%
• PEG Ratio, Forward PE, Profit Margins, ROE, Debt/Equity, FCF: Not available (null)
• Analyst Target / Consensus: Not available (null)

Revenue growth, margin detail, and leverage metrics are not provided, preventing a full quality-of-earnings view. The trailing P/E of 26.80 is elevated for a financial/alternative-asset manager with null PEG, suggesting valuation is not supported by provided growth data. Fundamentals show a large-cap, high-beta name near the lower third of its 52-week range ($82.67 low vs $144.84 high), which diverges from the weak technical and bearish sentiment reads but aligns with the downtrend in daily closes.

Current Market Position

From the embedded daily and minute data:

• Current price (indicators): $90.14 as of 2026-10-05
• Minute bars show 2026-10-05 open $90.00, low $88.55, close $89.83 early; 2026-10-06 15:20 close $90.95
• Daily close 2026-10-05: $90.14; 30-day low $88.55, high $111.64
• Intraday 2026-10-06: drift from $91.15 (15:00) to $90.87 (15:15) then $90.95 (15:20) on moderate volume (49k–133k)

Price is sitting just above the 30-day low and below all major SMAs, indicating persistent downside pressure with weak intraday recovery.

Technical Analysis

• SMAs aligned bearish: 5 (91.35) < 20 (97.33) < 50 (103.16), no bullish crossover.
• RSI 25.35 = oversold but no reversal signal; momentum negative.
• MACD -3.62 below signal -2.90, histogram -0.72 = bearish momentum.
• Price below lower Bollinger ($88.44) intraday low $88.55 = near band edge, mild expansion.
• 30-day range: low $88.55, high $111.64; price at 9.4% from low, deep in lower range.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)

From KKR_options_20261006_1551.json (Delta 40-60 only):

Call Volume: $350,920.00 (12.6%) Put Volume: $2,432,540.00 (87.4%) Total: $2,783,460.00

• Sentiment: Bearish
• Put contracts 5,018 vs call 647; put trades 17 vs call 24 (large notional per put trade)
• Pure directional conviction strongly favors puts (87.4% dollar vol)
• Divergence: Technicals show oversold (RSI 25.35) but no clear direction per spread engine; sentiment clearly bearish.

Key Price Levels (observational only)