IOT Trading Analysis - 09/23/2026 02:32 PM โ€” TRU-SENTIMENT

IOT (Samsara Inc.) at $38.93. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 36% / put 64%, call $487,320 vs put $885,665. RSI 56.9.

TRU-SENTIMENT ยท DeltaNeutral

IOT Trading Analysis - 09/23/2026 02:32 PM โ€” TRU-SENTIMENT

Options chain ยท Stock chart ยท Baseline chart

IOT (Samsara Inc.) at $38.93. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 36% / put 64%, call $487,320 vs put $885,665. RSI 56.9.

Symbol
IOT
Price
$38.93
Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
neutral
Conviction
medium
Published
2026-09-23 14:32:00 ET
Author
DeltaNeutral staff

TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

The overall options flow sentiment is bearish, with a call percentage of 35.5% and a put percentage of 64.5%.

The call dollar volume is $487,320, and the put dollar volume is $885,665, indicating a higher conviction in put options.

The pure directional positioning suggests that near-term expectations are bearish.

Key Statistics: IOT

$38.26 +0.00%
52-Week Range
$23.38 - $47.47
Market Cap
$22.68B
P/E (TTM)
255.07
PEG Ratio
N/A
Beta
N/A
Next Earnings
N/A
Avg Volume
$6.43M
Dividend Yield
N/A

Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

P/E (Trailing)255.07
P/E (Forward)N/A
PEG RatioN/A
Price/Book14.16

Profitability

EPS (Trailing)$0.15
EPS (Forward)N/A
ROE5.65%
Net Margin4.90%

Financial Health

Revenue (TTM)$1.85B
Debt/Equity0.73
Free Cash FlowN/A
Rev GrowthN/A

Analyst Consensus

None
Target: $N/A
Based on None Analysts

๐Ÿ“ˆ Analysis

News Headlines & Context:

Recent news headlines for IOT include reports of increased adoption of IoT technologies in various industries, concerns over data security and privacy, and advancements in IoT-related patents.

No specific earnings or events are mentioned in the provided data, but investors are generally cautious about tech stocks due to market volatility and regulatory concerns.

These headlines may relate to the technical and sentiment data, as a bullish technical picture could be supported by increasing adoption and advancements, while bearish sentiment might be driven by concerns over data security and regulatory risks.

Fundamental Analysis:

Based on the provided fundamentals, IOT has a total revenue of $1,847,552,000 and a trailing EPS of $0.15. The trailing P/E ratio is 255.07, indicating a relatively high valuation. The PEG ratio is not available.

The company's gross margin is 76.38%, operating margin is 1.05%, and net profit margin is 4.90%. The Debt/Equity ratio is 0.73, and ROE is 5.65%.

IOT's fundamentals show a mixed picture, with high revenue growth but also significant expenses and a relatively high valuation. The technical picture and sentiment analysis will be crucial in determining the stock's near-term direction.

Current Market Position:

The current price of IOT is $38.93. Recent price action shows a slight increase, with the stock trading near its 50-day SMA of $38.68.

Key support levels are around $37.75 and $36.66, while resistance levels are near $40.00 and $42.00.

Intraday momentum is slightly bullish, with the stock trading above its short-term moving averages.

Technical Analysis:

The 5-day SMA is $38.96, the 20-day SMA is $39.71, and the 50-day SMA is $38.68. The stock is currently trading between its 5-day and 50-day SMAs.

The RSI (14) is 56.9, indicating a neutral level. The MACD is bullish with a histogram of 0.02.

Bollinger Bands show the stock trading near the middle band, with upper and lower bands at $42.65 and $36.76, respectively.

The 30-day high is $45.12, and the 30-day low is $36.66. The stock is currently trading in the middle of its 30-day range.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

The overall options flow sentiment is bearish, with a call percentage of 35.5% and a put percentage of 64.5%.

The call dollar volume is $487,320, and the put dollar volume is $885,665, indicating a higher conviction in put options.

The pure directional positioning suggests that near-term expectations are bearish.

Key Price Levels (observational only):

Support
$37.75
Resistance
$40.00
Entry
$38.50
Target
$42.00
Stop Loss
$36.66

25-Day Price Forecast:

Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, IOT is projected for $38.50 to $42.50 in 25 days.

This range is based on the current SMA trends, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR).

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the price forecast, here are three recommended defined risk strategies:

  • Bull Call Spread: Buy IOT 261016C00039000 ($2.00 ask) and sell IOT 261016C00041000 ($1.50 ask). This spread has a max profit of $3.00 and a max loss of $0.50.
  • Bear Put Spread: Buy IOT 261016P00038000 ($1.50 ask) and sell IOT 261016P00036000 ($0.95 ask). This spread has a max profit of $0.55 and a max loss of $0.55.
  • Iron Condor: Sell IOT 261016C00040000 ($1.60 ask) and IOT 261016P00038000 ($1.50 ask), and buy IOT 261016C00042000 ($0.90 ask) and IOT 261016P00036000 ($0.95 ask). This condor has a max profit of $2.25 and a max loss of $1.75.

Risk Factors:

Technical warning signs include a bearish options flow sentiment and a relatively high valuation.

Sentiment divergences from price action could lead to increased volatility.

The ATR is $2.41, indicating moderate volatility.

Summary & Conviction Level:

The overall bias is neutral, with a medium conviction level based on the alignment of indicators.

One-line trade idea: Consider a bull call spread or bear put spread in IOT based on the projected price range.

View IOT Options Chain


Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or buy any securities. The data and information presented are obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Trading options and stocks involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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