HCA Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 11:51 AM — TRU-SENTIMENT

News Headlines & Context:

Here are 3-5 recent relevant headlines for HCA:

• HC-Aetna unit to buy 3 hospitals from Tennessee-based hospital chain (Source: Reuters)
• HCA Healthcare profit beats on higher volumes, better patient mix (Source: Reuters)
• HCA Healthcare raises annual profit forecast on strong admissions (Source: CNBC)

These headlines suggest that HCA Healthcare has been experiencing increased volumes and better patient mix, leading to improved profitability. The company's decision to acquire hospitals may also indicate growth strategies.

Fundamental Analysis:

Based on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data, here is the analysis:

Revenue growth rate (YoY and recent trends): Not available
Profit margins (gross, operating, net margins): Not available
Earnings per share (EPS) and recent earnings trends: Not available
P/E ratio and valuation compared to sector/peers: Not available
PEG ratio: Not available
Price to Book: Not available
Debt/Equity: -14.28 (high debt)
Return on Equity (ROE): Not available
Free Cash Flow: Not available
Operating Cash Flow: Not available

The fundamentals data is largely not available, making it difficult to draw conclusions. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio may be a concern.

Current Market Position:

Current price: $423.97

Recent price action: The stock has been trending upwards, with a recent high of $428.2 and a low of $420.79 on September 11, 2026.

Key support and resistance levels from the data:

Technical Analysis:

SMA trends (5, 20, 50-day):

• 5-day SMA: $414.81
• 20-day SMA: $414.98
• 50-day SMA: $404.92

The short-term SMAs (5 and 20-day) are closely aligned, while the 50-day SMA is slightly lower, indicating a bullish trend.

RSI (14): 45.97 (neutral)

MACD: 2.96 (bullish)

Bollinger Bands:

• Middle: $414.98
• Upper: $433.75
• Lower: $396.2

The stock is currently trading near the upper Bollinger Band, indicating potential overbought conditions.

30-day high/low context: The stock is currently trading near the middle of its 30-day range.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish

Call vs Put dollar volume analysis:

• Call dollar volume: $274,170
• Put dollar volume: $0

The pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.

Key Price Levels:

25-Day Price Forecast:

HCA is projected for $427.50 to $442.11

Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock is expected to trade within this range in 25 days.

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the price forecast, here are three defined risk strategy recommendations:

1. Bull Call Spread: Buy HCA261016C00420000 (strike $420.0, price $19.2) and sell HCA261016C00445000 (strike $445.0, price $6.8). Net debit: $12.4. Max profit: $12.6. Breakeven: $432.4.
2. Iron Condor: Sell HCA261016P00410000 (strike $410.0, price $8.6) and buy HCA261016P00415000 (strike $415.0, price $10.2). Sell HCA261016C00440000 (strike $440.0, price $8.7) and buy HCA261016C00445000 (strike $445.0, price $6.8).
3. Protective Put: Buy HCA261016P00420000 (strike $420.0, price $12.0) to protect a long position.

Risk Factors:

• Technical warning signs: overbought conditions near the upper Bollinger Band
• Sentiment divergences: none apparent
• Volatility and ATR considerations: ATR 14: 12.22

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall bias: Bullish

Conviction level: High

One-line trade idea: Consider a bull call spread on HCA.