HCA Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 11:20 AM — TRU-SENTIMENT

News Headlines & Context:

Here are 3-5 recent relevant headlines for HCA:

• Hospital stocks rally as investors bet on healthcare rebound (Recent market trend)
• HCA Healthcare beats Q2 earnings expectations, raises guidance (Company-specific news)
• Healthcare sector sees increased M&A activity, HCA Healthcare in focus (Industry trend)

These headlines suggest a positive outlook for HCA Healthcare, with the company beating earnings expectations and the healthcare sector seeing increased M&A activity.

Fundamental Analysis:

Based on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data, here is the analysis:

Revenue Growth Rate: Not available
Profit Margins: Not available
Earnings Per Share (EPS): Not available
P/E Ratio: Not available
PEG Ratio: Not available
Debt/Equity: -14.28 (high debt, but negative equity ratio makes interpretation challenging)

The lack of specific fundamental data makes it difficult to conduct a thorough analysis. However, the debt/equity ratio suggests that HCA Healthcare has significant debt, but the negative equity ratio makes interpretation challenging.

Current Market Position:

Current Price: $424.09
Recent Price Action: The stock has seen recent price increases, with a high of $428.2 and a low of $420.79 on September 11, 2026.

Technical Analysis:

SMA Trends:
  5-day SMA: $414.83
  20-day SMA: $414.98
  50-day SMA: $404.92
The stock is currently trading above its 5-day, 20-day, and 50-day SMAs, indicating a bullish trend.
RSI (14): 46.07 (neutral)
MACD: 2.97 (bullish)
Bollinger Bands:
  Middle: $414.98
  Upper: $433.77
  Lower: $396.2
The stock is currently trading near the upper Bollinger Band, indicating potential overbought conditions.
30-day High/Low: The stock has seen a 30-day high of $436.5 and a 30-day low of $391.38.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall Sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put Dollar Volume: 100% call dollar volume, indicating strong bullish conviction.

The true sentiment analysis suggests that the near-term expectations for HCA Healthcare are bullish, with strong call buying activity.

Key Price Levels:

Support: $396.2 (lower Bollinger Band)
Resistance: $433.77 (upper Bollinger Band)
Entry: $414.83 (5-day SMA)
Target: $428.2 (recent high)
Stop Loss: $404.92 (50-day SMA)

25-Day Price Forecast:

Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, HCA is projected for $427.50 to $442.11 in 25 days.

The projection is based on the current SMA trends, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR). The stock is expected to continue its bullish trend, with potential resistance at $433.77 (upper Bollinger Band).

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the price forecast, here are three defined risk strategy recommendations:

• Bull Call Spread:
    Buy: HCA261016C00420000 (strike: $420.0, price: $19.2)
    Sell: HCA261016C00445000 (strike: $445.0, price: $6.8)
    Net Debit: $12.4
    Max Profit: $12.6
    Max Loss: $12.4
    Breakeven: $432.4
  
• Iron Condor:
    Sell: HCA261016P00410000 (strike: $410.0, price: $8.3)
    Sell: HCA261016C00430000 (strike: $430.0, price: $12.0)
    Buy: HCA261016P00415000 (strike: $415.0, price: $10.2)
    Buy: HCA261016C00435000 (strike: $435.0, price: $9.6)
  
• Protective Put:
    Buy: HCA261016P00420000 (strike: $420.0, price: $12.7)
  

Risk Factors:

Technical Warning Signs: Potential overbought conditions near the upper Bollinger Band.
Sentiment Divergences: None apparent.
Volatility and ATR: Recent volatility is relatively high, with an ATR of 12.22.

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall Bias: Bullish
Conviction Level: High
One-line Trade Idea: Buy HCA Healthcare with a bullish bias, targeting $428.2 with a stop loss at $404.92.

View HCA Options Chain