TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
FND Trading Analysis - 09/15/2026 02:40 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
FND (Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.) at $46.94. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 76% / put 24%, call $22,100 vs put $6,790. RSI 25.2.
- Symbol
- FND
- Price
- $46.94
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-15 14:40:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish Call vs Put dollar volume: - Call dollar volume: $22,100 Put dollar volume: $6,790 The put-call ratio suggests bullish conviction.
Key Statistics: FND
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 22.49 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 4.18 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $2.14 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 9.30% |
| Net Margin | 4.93% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.71B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for FND include: - Home Depot's competitor, Floor & Decor, reports strong sales growth amid housing market challenges. - FND's expansion plans in the U.S. market could be a significant growth catalyst. - The housing market's current trends might impact FND's revenue and profitability. These headlines suggest that FND is navigating a challenging housing market while trying to expand its market share. The technical and sentiment data may provide further insights into how these factors are affecting the stock.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals: - Revenue: $4,711,746,000 - Trailing EPS: $2.14 - Trailing P/E: 22.49 - Price-to-Book: 4.18 - Debt-to-Equity: 0.08 - ROE: 9.30% - Gross Margin: 44.86% - Operating Margin: 6.37% - Profit Margin: 4.93% FND's fundamentals indicate a stable company with a reasonable valuation. However, the growth rate and forward EPS are not provided, making it difficult to assess future prospects.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $46.93 Recent price action: The stock has been trending downward, with a recent low of $46.44 and a high of $48.46. Key support and resistance levels: - Support: $46.44 (recent low) - Resistance: $48.46 (recent high) Intraday momentum and trends: The minute bars show a relatively stable price action in the last few minutes, with a slight decrease in volume.
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends: - 5-day SMA: $47.37 - 20-day SMA: $51.13 - 50-day SMA: $54.68 The stock is currently below all three SMAs, indicating a downtrend. RSI (14): 25.2 The RSI is in the oversold territory, suggesting a potential reversal. MACD: -2.51 (MACD), -2.01 (Signal), -0.5 (Histogram) The MACD is bearish, with a negative histogram. Bollinger Bands: - Middle: $51.13 - Upper: $58.02 - Lower: $44.24 The stock is currently near the lower band, which could act as support. 30-day high/low: $63.25 (high), $46.03 (low) The stock is currently near the lower end of the 30-day range.
Technical Indicators
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish Call vs Put dollar volume: - Call dollar volume: $22,100 Put dollar volume: $6,790 The put-call ratio suggests bullish conviction. The pure directional positioning suggests near-term expectations of a price increase.
Key Price Levels:
- Support: $46.44 (recent low) - Resistance: $48.46 (recent high) - Entry: $47.00 - Target: $50.00 - Stop Loss: $45.00 These levels are based on the provided data and may act as barriers or targets for the stock price.
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on current trends, momentum, and indicators: FND is projected for $45.50 to $48.50 This range is based on the current SMA trends, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR). The support and resistance levels may act as barriers or targets.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast and optionchain data: 1. Bull Call Spread: - Buy FND 261016C00045000 (47.5 strike) - Sell FND 261016C00050000 (50 strike) - Expiration: 2026-10-16 - This strategy benefits from a price increase and has a limited risk. 2. Protective Put: - Buy FND 261016P00045000 (45 strike) - Expiration: 2026-10-16 - This strategy provides protection against a potential price decrease. 3. Iron Condor: - Buy FND 261016P00042500 (42.5 strike) - Sell FND 261016P00045000 (45 strike) - Sell FND 261016C00047500 (47.5 strike) - Buy FND 261016C00050000 (50 strike) - Expiration: 2026-10-16 - This strategy benefits from a stable price and has a limited risk. Risk/Reward Analysis: - Bull Call Spread: 1:1.5 - Protective Put: Flexible, based on stock position - Iron Condor: 1:2
Trading Recommendation
- Enter near $47.00 support zone
- Target $50.00 (6.4% upside)
- Stop loss at $45.00 (4.3% risk)
- Risk/Reward ratio: 1.5:1
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: The stock is in a downtrend, and the RSI is in the oversold territory. - Sentiment divergences: The options flow sentiment is bullish, while the technical indicators are bearish. - Volatility and ATR considerations: The ATR is relatively high, indicating increased volatility.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish Conviction level: Medium One-line trade idea: FND may rebound from the current support level, targeting $50.00. View FND Options Chain