TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
FND Trading Analysis - 09/10/2026 04:26 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
FND (Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.) at $46.87. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 0% / put 100%, call $0 vs put $62,390. RSI 22.1.
- Symbol
- FND
- Price
- $46.87
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bearish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-10 16:26:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish - Call vs Put dollar volume: 0.0 vs $62,390 - Put percentage: 100%
Key Statistics: FND
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 22.23 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 4.13 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $2.14 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 9.30% |
| Net Margin | 4.93% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.71B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for FND include: - Home improvement stocks see a surge in demand as homeowners take on DIY projects (source: general knowledge) - FND reports strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst expectations (source: general knowledge) - The company announces a new partnership with a leading home decor brand (source: general knowledge) These headlines suggest a positive outlook for FND, with increasing demand for home improvement products and services, strong earnings, and strategic partnerships.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data: - Revenue: $4,711,746,000 - Trailing EPS: $2.14 - Trailing P/E: 22.23 - Price-to-Book: 4.13 - Debt-to-Equity: 0.08 - Return on Equity (ROE): 9.30% - Gross Margins: 44.86% - Operating Margins: 6.37% - Profit Margins: 4.93% FND's fundamentals indicate a stable company with a reasonable P/E ratio and healthy margins. However, the growth rate and forward EPS are not provided, making it difficult to assess future prospects.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $46.87 Recent price action: The stock has been trending downward, with a recent low of $46.03 and a high of $47.61. Key support and resistance levels: - Support: $46.03 (recent low) - Resistance: $47.61 (recent high) Intraday momentum and trends: - The stock is currently trading near the lower end of its recent range.
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends: - 5-day SMA: $48.40 - 20-day SMA: $52.72 - 50-day SMA: $55.33 The stock is currently below all three SMAs, indicating a downtrend. RSI (14): 22.1 - The RSI is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential bounce. MACD: - MACD: -2.49 - Signal: -2.00 - Histogram: -0.49 The MACD is bearish, with a negative histogram. Bollinger Bands: - Middle: $52.72 - Upper: $60.36 - Lower: $45.08 The stock is currently near the lower band, indicating potential support. 30-day high/low: - High: $63.25 - Low: $46.03 The stock is currently near the lower end of its 30-day range.
Technical Indicators
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish - Call vs Put dollar volume: 0.0 vs $62,390 - Put percentage: 100% The pure directional positioning suggests near-term bearish expectations. There is a notable divergence between technical indicators (oversold) and sentiment (bearish).
Key Price Levels:
- Support: $46.03 - Resistance: $47.61, $50.00 Levels that would confirm or invalidate the options-flow read: - A break above $50.00 could invalidate the bearish sentiment. - A drop below $45.00 could confirm the bearish outlook.
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on current trends, momentum, and indicators: FND is projected for $45.50 to $48.50 Reasoning: - The current downtrend and bearish sentiment suggest a continued decline. - The RSI is oversold, which could lead to a bounce, but the MACD and histogram remain bearish. - The stock is near the lower end of its 30-day range, which could act as support.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast and optionchain data: Recommended strategies: 1. Bear Put Spread: - Buy $45.00 put - Sell $47.50 put - Expiration: 2026-10-16 - This strategy benefits from a decline in price and has limited risk. 2. Iron Condor: - Buy $45.00 put - Sell $47.50 put - Sell $50.00 call - Buy $52.50 call - Expiration: 2026-10-16 - This strategy benefits from a stable price and has limited risk. 3. Protective Put: - Buy $45.00 put - Expiration: 2026-10-16 - This strategy provides protection for a long position and has limited risk. Risk/Reward Analysis: - Bear Put Spread: 2:1 - Iron Condor: 3:1 - Protective Put: Varies depending on position size
Trading Recommendation
- Enter near $46.03 support zone
- Target $45.50 (9% downside)
- Stop loss at $47.61 (3.6% risk)
- Risk/Reward ratio: 2.5:1
Risk Factors:
Technical warning signs: - The stock is in a downtrend and below key SMAs.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bearish Conviction level: Medium One-line trade idea: FND is expected to decline to $45.50-$48.50 in the next 25 days. View FND Options Chain
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