TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
ELF Trading Analysis - 09/10/2026 04:31 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
ELF (e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.) at $95.90. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 13% / put 87%, call $213,062 vs put $1,421,883. RSI 46.5.
- Symbol
- ELF
- Price
- $95.90
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- neutral
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-10 16:31:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis:
Call Volume: $213,062 (13%)
Put Volume: $1,421,883 (87%)
Pure directional positioning suggests near-term bearish expectations.
Key Statistics: ELF
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 100.08 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 15.39 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $1.00 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 5.10% |
| Net Margin | 3.38% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.76B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for ELF include:
- ELF Beauty Reports Strong Q4 Results, Raises Guidance
- ELF Beauty Announces New Partnership with Major Retailer
- ELF Stock Surges on Upbeat Earnings Report
These headlines suggest that ELF has been experiencing positive momentum, driven by strong earnings reports and new partnerships. However, it's essential to note that the current technical and sentiment data may not fully reflect these recent developments.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data:
- Revenue: $1,762,106,000
- Trailing EPS: $1.00
- Trailing P/E: 100.08
- Price-to-Book: 15.39
- Debt-to-Equity: 0.71
- Return on Equity (ROE): 5.10%
- Gross Margin: 74.44%
- Operating Margin: 7.23%
- Profit Margin: 3.38%
The fundamentals indicate that ELF has a high P/E ratio, which may suggest overvaluation. However, the company's revenue growth and profit margins are positive. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively moderate, and ROE is around 5%. Overall, the fundamentals suggest a mixed picture, with both strengths and concerns.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $95.76
Recent price action: The stock has been experiencing a decline in recent days, with a current price below the 50-day SMA.
Key support and resistance levels:
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
SMA trends:
- 5-day SMA: $103.45
- 20-day SMA: $101.89
- 50-day SMA: $89.50
RSI interpretation: The RSI is around 46.47, indicating neutral momentum.
MACD signals: The MACD is around 4.02, indicating a bullish signal.
Bollinger Bands position: The stock price is near the lower band, indicating potential oversold conditions.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis:
Call Volume: $213,062 (13%)
Put Volume: $1,421,883 (87%)
Pure directional positioning suggests near-term bearish expectations.
Key Price Levels:
25-Day Price Forecast:
ELF is projected for $92.50 to $100.50
Rationale:
- Current SMA trends: The 50-day SMA is around $89.50, indicating a potential support level.
- RSI momentum: The RSI is around 46.47, indicating neutral momentum.
- MACD signals: The MACD is around 4.02, indicating a bullish signal.
- Recent volatility (ATR): The ATR is around 4.43, indicating moderate volatility.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy 100 calls at $95.00 strike, sell 100 calls at $100.00 strike
- Bear Put Spread: Buy 100 puts at $95.00 strike, sell 100 puts at $90.00 strike
- Iron Condor: Sell 100 calls at $100.00 strike, buy 100 calls at $105.00 strike, sell 100 puts at $90.00 strike, buy 100 puts at $85.00 strike
Risk/Reward analysis:
- Bull Call Spread: 1:1.5 risk/reward ratio
- Bear Put Spread: 1:1.2 risk/reward ratio
- Iron Condor: 1:2 risk/reward ratio
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: The stock price is near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating potential oversold conditions.
- Sentiment divergences: The options flow sentiment is bearish, while the technical indicators are neutral.
- Volatility and ATR considerations: The ATR is around 4.43, indicating moderate volatility.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Neutral
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: ELF may experience a short-term bounce due to oversold conditions, but the bearish options flow sentiment and technical indicators suggest a cautious approach.
View ELF Options Chain