TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
DUOL Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 02:35 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
DUOL (Duolingo, Inc. Class A Common Stock) at $144.55. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 94% / put 6%, call $834,650 vs put $48,610. RSI 48.5.
- Symbol
- DUOL
- Price
- $144.55
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 14:35:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: 94.5% call volume, 5.5% put volume
The pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Statistics: DUOL
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 17.24 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 10.17 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $8.42 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 29.14% |
| Net Margin | 35.87% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.15B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.47 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for DUOL include:
- Duolingo Reports Strong Q2 Growth, Surpassing Expectations
- Duolingo's Language Learning Platform Sees Increased Adoption
- Tech Sector Sees Mixed Results as Duolingo Continues to Thrive
These headlines suggest that Duolingo has been experiencing strong growth and increased adoption of its language learning platform. This could be a positive catalyst for the stock.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Revenue: $1,145,002,000
- Trailing EPS: $8.42
- Trailing P/E: 17.24
- Price-to-Book: 10.17
- Debt-to-Equity: 0.47
- Return on Equity (ROE): 29.14%
- Gross Margin: 72.72%
- Operating Margin: 13.72%
- Profit Margin: 35.87%
The company's revenue and profit margins are strong, with a high ROE and gross margin. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $144.56
Recent price action: The stock has been trading in a range with a slight upward trend.
Key support and resistance levels: $137.21 (50-day SMA) and $146.45 (recent high)
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
The RSI is neutral, while the MACD is bullish. The stock is trading above the 50-day SMA but below the 20-day SMA.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: 94.5% call volume, 5.5% put volume
The pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.
Key Price Levels:
25-Day Price Forecast:
DUOL is projected for $149.11 to $155.29
Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock price is expected to move within this range over the next 25 days.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, here are three recommended defined risk strategies:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy DUOL 261016C00145000 (145.0) and sell DUOL 261016C00155000 (155.0)
- Iron Condor: Sell DUOL 261016P00140000 (140.0) and buy DUOL 261016P00145000 (145.0), sell DUOL 261016C00150000 (150.0) and buy DUOL 261016C00155000 (155.0)
- Protective Put: Buy DUOL 261016P00140000 (140.0)
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: RSI neutral, potential resistance at $146.45
- Sentiment divergences: None
- Volatility and ATR considerations: ATR at 7.38, relatively high
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: DUOL has strong fundamentals and bullish sentiment, but faces resistance at $146.45.
View DUOL Options Chain