TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
DUOL Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 01:49 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
DUOL (Duolingo, Inc. Class A Common Stock) at $145.45. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 95% / put 5%, call $827,180 vs put $40,450. RSI 49.1.
- Symbol
- DUOL
- Price
- $145.45
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 13:49:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: 95.3% call volume, indicating strong bullish conviction.
Key Statistics: DUOL
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 17.24 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 10.17 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $8.42 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 29.14% |
| Net Margin | 35.87% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.15B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.47 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for DUOL include:
- Duolingo Reports Strong Q2 Growth, Surpassing Expectations
- Duolingo's Language Learning Platform Sees Increased Adoption
- Tech Sector Sees Mixed Results as Duolingo Continues to Thrive
These headlines suggest that Duolingo has been experiencing strong growth and increased adoption of its language learning platform. This could be a positive catalyst for the stock.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Revenue: $1,145,002,000
- Trailing EPS: $8.42
- Trailing P/E: 17.24
- Price-to-Book: 10.17
- Debt-to-Equity: 0.47
- Return on Equity (ROE): 29.14%
- Gross Margin: 72.72%
- Operating Margin: 13.72%
- Profit Margin: 35.87%
The company's revenue and profit margins are strong, with a high ROE and gross margin. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $145.21
Recent price action: The stock has been trading in a range with a slight upward trend.
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
The stock is currently trading above its 50-day SMA, with an RSI close to 50. The MACD is bullish.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: 95.3% call volume, indicating strong bullish conviction.
Key Price Levels:
25-Day Price Forecast:
DUOL is projected for $147.50 to $152.50
Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock is expected to trade in a range of $147.50 to $152.50 over the next 25 days.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, here are three recommended defined risk strategies:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy DUOL 261016C00145000 ($10.0 ask) and sell DUOL 261016C00155000 ($5.8 ask). This spread has a potential profit of $34.2 and a risk of $4.2.
- Iron Condor: Sell DUOL 261016P00140000 ($7.1 ask) and buy DUOL 261016P00145000 ($9.2 ask), while selling DUOL 261016C00150000 ($7.9 ask) and buying DUOL 261016C00155000 ($5.8 ask). This strategy has a potential profit of $23.1 and a risk of $26.9.
- Protective Put: Buy DUOL 261016P00145000 ($9.2 ask). This strategy provides protection against a potential decline in the stock price.
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs or weaknesses: The stock's RSI is close to 50, indicating potential for a pullback.
- Sentiment divergences from price action: The options sentiment is bullish, but the technical indicators are neutral.
- Volatility and ATR considerations: The ATR is 7.38, indicating moderate volatility.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: DUOL has strong bullish sentiment and technical indicators, but with moderate conviction.
View DUOL Options Chain