TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
DUOL Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 01:05 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
DUOL (Duolingo, Inc. Class A Common Stock) at $145.10. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 96% / put 4%, call $821,690 vs put $37,920. RSI 49.1.
- Symbol
- DUOL
- Price
- $145.10
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 13:05:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
Call Volume: $821,690 (95.6%) Put Volume: $37,920 (4.4%) Total: $859,610
Key Statistics: DUOL
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 17.24 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 10.17 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $8.42 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 29.14% |
| Net Margin | 35.87% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.15B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.47 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for DUOL include:
- Duolingo Reports Strong Q2 Growth, Surpassing Expectations
- Duolingo's Language Learning Platform Sees Increased Adoption
- Tech Sector Sees Mixed Results as Duolingo Continues to Thrive
These headlines suggest that Duolingo has been experiencing strong growth and increased adoption of its language learning platform. This could be a positive catalyst for the stock.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Revenue: $1,145,002,000
- Trailing EPS: $8.42
- Trailing P/E: 17.24
- Price-to-Book: 10.17
- Debt-to-Equity: 0.47
- Return on Equity (ROE): 29.14%
- Gross Margin: 72.72%
- Operating Margin: 13.72%
- Profit Margin: 35.87%
The company's revenue and profit margins are strong, with a high ROE and gross margin. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $145.18
Recent price action: The stock has been trading in a range with a slight upward trend.
Key support and resistance levels:
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends:
RSI: 49.09
MACD: Bullish with a histogram of 0.63
Bollinger Bands:
30-day high/low: $167.38 / $112.02
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
Call Volume: $821,690 (95.6%) Put Volume: $37,920 (4.4%) Total: $859,610
Key Price Levels:
Support: $137.22, $138.62
Resistance: $146.84, $149.45
25-Day Price Forecast:
DUOL is projected for $147.50 to $152.20
Rationale: Based on current SMA trends, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR), the stock is expected to continue its upward trend with potential resistance at $149.45 and $152.20.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, here are three recommended defined risk strategies:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy DUOL 2026-10-16 145C @ $9.7, Sell DUOL 2026-10-16 150C @ $7.6. Risk/Reward: 1:2.5
- Iron Condor: Sell DUOL 2026-10-16 140P @ $6.9, Buy DUOL 2026-10-16 135P @ $4.6, Sell DUOL 2026-10-16 150C @ $7.6, Buy DUOL 2026-10-16 155C @ $5.8. Risk/Reward: 1:1.8
- Protective Put: Buy DUOL 2026-10-16 140P @ $6.9. Risk/Reward: 1:3.5
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: RSI near 50, potential bearish divergence
- Sentiment divergences: None
- Volatility and ATR considerations: High volatility expected around earnings
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: DUOL shows bullish momentum with strong institutional buying.
View DUOL Options Chain