TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
DLTR Trading Analysis - 10/22/2026 12:03 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
DLTR (Dollar Tree Inc.) at $127.67. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 90% / put 10%, call $18,364 vs put $2,032. RSI 75.2.
- Symbol
- DLTR
- Price
- $127.67
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- low
- Published
- 2026-10-22 12:03:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)Options flow (2026-10-22) shows Bullish:
Call Volume: 18,364.00 (90.00%) Put Volume: 2,032.00 (10.00%) Total: 20,396.00
Call contracts 37 vs put 6; sentiment bullish with pure directional conviction. Divergence: Option spread advice notes technicals show no clear direction despite bullish sentiment.
Key Statistics: DLTR
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (trailing) | 15.30 |
| EPS (trailing 12 mo) | $8.19 |
| Market cap | $23.95B |
| Shares outstanding | 187.6M |
Dividend
| Dividend yield | 0.00% |
Risk & range
| Beta | 0.56 |
| 52-week low | $85.88 |
| 52-week high | $142.40 |
| Historical volatility | 29.8% |
Ownership & trading
| Institutional ownership | 78.3% |
| Average daily volume | 2.0M sh |
Reported figures; no analyst estimates.
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context
The following recent news context is based on general knowledge and is separated from the data-driven analysis below.
- Dollar Tree (DLTR) reported mixed Q2 results in late August 2026, with same-store sales growth but margin pressure from freight costs.
- Company announced continued rollout of multi-price initiatives at Family Dollar stores, viewed as a potential catalyst for FY2027 earnings.
- Analysts noted defensive consumer staples rotation amid macro uncertainty, benefiting discount retailers.
- No confirmed near-term earnings date post-Oct 21, but historical fiscal year end of Jan 2026 suggests next report in early 2027.
- News context aligns with bullish options sentiment in data, though technicals show overbought RSI.
Fundamental Analysis
Based strictly on provided FUNDAMENTALS data for DLTR:
- Trailing P/E: 15.30; Trailing EPS: 8.19. Forward P/E and PEG not available (null).
- Market Cap: 23,953,783,950.00; Shares Outstanding: 187,630,000.00.
- Dividend Yield: 0.00%; No dividend rate or ex-date.
- Beta: 0.56 (low volatility vs market).
- 52-Week High: 142.40; 52-Week Low: 85.88.
- Institutional Ownership: 78.31%.
- Average Volume: 1,958,000.00; Historical Volatility: 29.83%.
- Revenue growth, margins, ROE, Debt/Equity, FCF: not provided (null).
- Analyst target mean and consensus: not provided (null).
Fundamentals show low-beta valuation with P/E 15.30 below 52-week high context. Lack of margin/data diverges from technical bullishness; institutionally held 78.31% suggests stability but no growth confirmation.
Current Market Position
Current price per indicators: 125.37 (as of 2026-10-21). Minute bars show 2026-10-22 11:35 close at 127.67, up from 124.99 at 2026-10-21 09:30. Recent daily close 125.37 (10-21) vs 124.84 (10-20).
Intraday momentum: Opening 124.99, peaked 127.94 by 11:15 10-22, closed 127.67 – upward drift with low volume (~11k–21k per bar).
Technical Analysis
Technical Indicators
SMA alignment: 5 (124.42) > 50 (121.97) > 20 (117.88) – bullish stack but 20 below 50 shows prior base. RSI 75.19 overbought. MACD histogram 0.28 positive. Price 125.37 above BB middle 117.88, near upper 126.71. 30d range 111.12–127.17; price near top.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)
Options flow (2026-10-22) shows Bullish:
Call Volume: 18,364.00 (90.00%) Put Volume: 2,032.00 (10.00%) Total: 20,396.00
Call contracts 37 vs put 6; sentiment bullish with pure directional conviction. Divergence: Option spread advice notes technicals show no clear direction despite bullish sentiment.
Key Price Levels (Observational Only)
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