COST Trading Analysis - 10/27/2026 04:42 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

COST (Costco Wholesale Corp) at $991.90. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 78% / put 22%, call $6,939,325 vs put $1,994,650. RSI 70.2.

TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral

COST Trading Analysis - 10/27/2026 04:42 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart

COST (Costco Wholesale Corp) at $991.90. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 78% / put 22%, call $6,939,325 vs put $1,994,650. RSI 70.2.

Symbol
COST
Price
$991.90
Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
bullish
Conviction
medium
Published
2026-10-27 16:42:00 ET
Author
DeltaNeutral staff

TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)

Options flow via True Sentiment (Delta 40-60 only):

Call Volume: $6,939,325 (77.7%) Put Volume: $1,994,650 (22.3%) Total: $8,933,975

  • Sentiment: Bullish (77.7% call dollar vol, 2198 call vs 807 put contracts).
  • Pure directional conviction skews heavily call-side; near-term upside expected by market makers.
  • Divergence: Option spread engine flagged "technicals show no clear direction" vs bullish sentiment – price below 5d SMA, RSI overbought.
Note: Options flow shows heavy call buying at 77.7% dollar volume, but technicals caution on overbought RSI.

Key Statistics: COST

$992.13 -1.20%
52-Week Range
$844.06 - $1,096.50
Market Cap
$439.64B
P/E (TTM)
48.30
PEG Ratio
N/A
Beta
0.68
Next Earnings
N/A
Avg Volume
$1.39M
Dividend Yield
0.01%

Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

P/E (trailing)48.30
EPS (trailing 12 mo)$20.78
Market cap$439.64B
Shares outstanding443.1M

Dividend

Dividend yield0.59%
Annual dividend$5.88
Ex-dividend date2026-10-30

Risk & range

Beta0.68
52-week low$844.06
52-week high$1,096.50
Historical volatility17.5%

Ownership & trading

Institutional ownership45.5%
Average daily volume2.1M sh

Reported figures; no analyst estimates.

📈 Analysis

News Headlines & Context

The following items are based on general knowledge and are separated from the data-driven analysis below:

  • Costco Wholesale reported strong quarterly comparable sales growth, continuing to benefit from membership renewal strength and grocery inflation trends.
  • Costco announced a special dividend in prior years; with ex-dividend date of 2026-10-30 per fundamentals, traders may position around the payout.
  • Consumer staples sector remains defensive amid macroeconomic uncertainty; COST's low beta (0.68) supports relative stability.
  • No major earnings catalyst until next fiscal report; recent price strength tied to broad retail momentum and options conviction.
  • Headlines suggest fundamental resilience, which loosely aligns with bullish options flow but diverges from short-term technical softness in minute bars.

Fundamental Analysis

Based strictly on embedded FUNDAMENTALS data for COST (as of 2026-10-27):

  • Trailing P/E: 48.30; Trailing EPS: $20.78; Market Cap: $439.64B; Shares Out: 443.13M.
  • Dividend Yield: 0.59% ($5.88 rate); Ex-Dividend: 2026-10-30; Beta: 0.68 (low volatility vs market).
  • 52-Week Range: $844.06 - $1096.50; Current price $990.90 sits mid-range.
  • Institutional Ownership: 45.51%; Average Volume: 2.14M; Historical Volatility: 17.51%.
  • Fiscal Year End: 2026-08-01. PEG, Forward P/E, P/B, Revenue, Margins, ROE, D/E, FCF: null (not provided).
  • Valuation appears rich on trailing P/E (48.30) with no PEG for comparison; no analyst target or consensus provided.
  • Fundamentals show stability (low beta, profitable EPS) but lack growth/margin data to confirm alignment with bullish options sentiment.

Current Market Position

Current price: $990.90 (2026-10-27 close). Recent daily action: 2026-10-26 close $1004.23, 2026-10-27 open $1002.10, high $1002.82, low $989.04, close $990.90, volume 1,014,357 (below 20d avg 1,265,357).

Minute bars (2026-10-26 09:30 to 2026-10-27 15:55): Started 2026-10-26 at $1002.89, rose to $1008.86 by 09:50; last bars 2026-10-27 show $989.55 low, closing $991.90 on rising volume (83,303 at 15:55). Intraday momentum faded from $1004+ to sub-$991.

Support
$989.04
Resistance
$1004.23
20d SMA
$965.64
30d High
$1021.45
50d SMA
$940.51

Technical Analysis

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
70.19
MACD
20.78 / 16.62
50-day SMA
$940.51
20-day SMA
$965.64
5-day SMA
$1003.02
ATR (14)
15.56
  • SMA alignment: 5d ($1003.02) > 20d ($965.64) > 50d ($940.51) – bullish stack, no bearish cross.
  • RSI 70.19 – overbought threshold; momentum stretched but not diverging yet.
  • MACD: 20.78 vs signal 16.62, histogram +4.16 – bullish momentum intact.
  • Bollinger: middle $965.64, upper $1030.83, lower $900.45; price $990.90 above middle, inside bands (expansion).
  • 30d range: high $1021.45, low $883.10; current $990.90 = 76.4% up the range.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options)

Options flow via True Sentiment (Delta 40-60 only):

Call Volume: $6,939,325 (77.7%) Put Volume: $1,994,650 (22.3%) Total: $8,933,975

  • Sentiment: Bullish (77.7% call dollar vol, 2198 call vs 807 put contracts).
  • Pure directional conviction skews heavily call-side; near-term upside expected by market makers.
  • Divergence: Option spread engine flagged "technicals show no clear direction" vs bullish sentiment – price below 5d SMA, RSI overbought.
Note: Options flow shows heavy call buying at 77.7% dollar volume, but technicals caution on overbought RSI.

Key Price Levels (Observational Only)

Daily Low 10-27
$989.04
Daily Close 10-26
$1004.23
20d SMA
$965.64
30d High
$1021.45
Bollinger Lower
$900.45

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