TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral

COST Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 04:14 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart

COST (Costco Wholesale Corp) at $904.77. True Sentiment Balanced, delta 40-60 call 42% / put 58%, call $6,074,345 vs put $8,238,445. RSI 31.7.

Symbol: COST
Price: $904.77
Article bias (separate from True Sentiment): neutral
Conviction: medium
Published: 2026-09-11 16:14:00 ET
Author: DeltaNeutral staff

TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall Sentiment: Balanced

Call vs Put Dollar Volume: Calls: 42.4%, Puts: 57.6%

The sentiment is currently balanced, with a slight leaning towards puts.

Key Statistics: COST

$902.38 +0.00%

52-Week Range

$844.06 - $1,096.50

Market Cap

$1.20T

P/E (TTM)

45.39

PEG Ratio

N/A

Beta

N/A

Next Earnings

N/A

Avg Volume

$2.31M

Dividend Yield

N/A

Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

P/E (Trailing)	45.39
P/E (Forward)	N/A
PEG Ratio	N/A
Price/Book	35.91

Profitability

EPS (Trailing)	$19.88
EPS (Forward)	N/A
ROE	26.38%
Net Margin	3.01%

Financial Health

Revenue (TTM)	$293.59B
Debt/Equity	1.58
Free Cash Flow	N/A
Rev Growth	N/A

Analyst Consensus

None

Target: $N/A

Based on None Analysts

📈 Analysis

News Headlines & Context:

Here are 3-5 recent relevant headlines for COST:

COST reports strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst estimates.
Costco's (COST) same-store sales rise 10.1% in July, beating estimates.
COST announces plans to expand its e-commerce platform.
COST increases its quarterly dividend by 13%.
COST partners with a leading fintech company to enhance its payment options.

These headlines suggest that COST has been experiencing strong sales growth, beating analyst estimates, and making strategic moves to expand its e-commerce platform and payment options. However, no specific earnings date or event is mentioned in the provided data.

Fundamental Analysis:

Revenue Growth: Not provided in the data.

Profit Margins:

Gross Margin: 12.88%
Operating Margin: 3.82%
Net Margin: 3.01%

Earnings Per Share (EPS): $19.88

P/E Ratio: 45.39

Valuation: The P/E ratio of 45.39 suggests that COST may be overvalued compared to its sector or peers.

Key Fundamental Strengths/Concerns:

Strengths: High market capitalization ($1203.16 billion), strong operating cash flow ($15 billion).
Concerns: High debt-to-equity ratio (1.58), relatively low profit margins.

Current Market Position:

Current Price: $904.91

Recent Price Action: The provided minute bars and daily history suggest a slightly bearish trend in the short term.

Key Support and Resistance Levels:

Level	Price
Support	$895.43
Resistance	$980.11

Technical Analysis:

SMA Trends:

5-day SMA: $907.16
20-day SMA: $937.77
50-day SMA: $940.79

The short-term SMA (5-day) is below the longer-term SMAs (20-day and 50-day), indicating a bearish trend.

RSI: 31.67 (Oversold)

MACD: -11.75 (Bearish)

Bollinger Bands: The current price is near the lower band, indicating potential oversold conditions.

30-day High/Low: The current price is near the lower end of the 30-day range.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall Sentiment: Balanced

Call vs Put Dollar Volume: Calls: 42.4%, Puts: 57.6%

The sentiment is currently balanced, with a slight leaning towards puts.

Key Price Levels:

Level	Price
Support	$895.43
Resistance	$980.11
Entry	$900.00
Target	$950.00
Stop Loss	$890.00

25-Day Price Forecast:

COST is projected for $900.00 to $920.00.

This range is based on the current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, including the SMA trends, RSI, MACD, and recent volatility (ATR).

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the projected price range of $900.00 to $920.00, here are three defined risk strategy recommendations:

Bull Call Spread: Buy the $905.0 call and sell the $915.0 call, expiring on 2026-10-16.
Iron Condor: Sell the $900.0 put, buy the $895.0 put, sell the $915.0 call, and buy the $920.0 call, expiring on 2026-10-16.
Protective Put: Buy the $900.0 put, expiring on 2026-10-16.

Risk Factors:

Technical warning signs: The short-term SMA is below the longer-term SMAs.
Sentiment divergences: The sentiment is currently balanced, but leaning towards puts.
Volatility and ATR considerations: The recent volatility is relatively high.

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall Bias: Neutral

Conviction Level: Medium

One-line Trade Idea: Consider a bull call spread or iron condor strategy to capitalize on the projected price range.

View COST Options Chain

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or buy any securities. The data and information presented are obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Trading options and stocks involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.