TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
COP Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 04:39 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
COP (ConocoPhillips) at $137.23. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 78% / put 22%, call $885,219 vs put $252,937. RSI 56.5.
- Symbol
- COP
- Price
- $137.23
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 16:39:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $885,219
- Put dollar volume: $252,937
The options flow suggests a bullish sentiment, with a higher call dollar volume.
Key Statistics: COP
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 18.15 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 5.16 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $7.55 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 14.20% |
| Net Margin | 14.65% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $63.34B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.90 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for ConocoPhillips (COP) include:
- ConocoPhillips announced a quarterly dividend of $0.78 per share, payable on October 1, 2026.
- The company reported strong Q2 earnings, beating analyst expectations with a net income of $2.3 billion.
- ConocoPhillips announced plans to increase its share buyback program to $5 billion.
These headlines suggest a positive outlook for the company, with a stable dividend payout, strong earnings, and increased shareholder value through share buybacks.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Revenue: $63.45 billion
- Trailing EPS: $7.55
- Trailing P/E: 18.15
- Debt/Equity: 0.90
- ROE: 14.20%
The company's fundamentals indicate a stable financial position with a reasonable P/E ratio and a strong return on equity. However, the debt-to-equity ratio suggests some leverage.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $137.35
Recent price action: The stock has been trading in a range with a slight upward trend.
Key support and resistance levels:
- Support: $135.00
- Resistance: $140.00
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends:
- SMA 5: $136.04
- SMA 20: $133.09
- SMA 50: $122.74
The stock is trading above its 5, 20, and 50-day SMAs, indicating a bullish trend.
RSI (14): 56.51, indicating a neutral level.
MACD: Bullish, with a histogram of 0.82.
Bollinger Bands: The stock is trading near the middle band, indicating a stable volatility level.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $885,219
- Put dollar volume: $252,937
The options flow suggests a bullish sentiment, with a higher call dollar volume.
Key Price Levels:
- Support: $135.00
- Resistance: $140.00
- Entry: $137.35
- Target: $145.00
- Stop Loss: $130.00
25-Day Price Forecast:
COP is projected for $142.11 to $149.23
Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock price may reach $142.11 to $149.23 in 25 days.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast:
- Strategy: Bull Call Spread
- Strike: 135.0
- Expiration: 2026-10-02
This strategy aligns with the projected price range and offers a defined risk profile.
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: None
- Sentiment divergences: None
- Volatility: ATR 2.91
The risk factors suggest a stable market condition.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: High
One-line trade idea: Buy COP with a target of $145.00.
View COP Options Chain