TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
COIN Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 03:24 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
COIN (Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock) at $174.68. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 37% / put 63%, call $9,816,810 vs put $17,028,455. RSI 44.4.
- Symbol
- COIN
- Price
- $174.68
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- neutral
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 15:24:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish
Call vs Put dollar volume: $9,816,810 (calls) vs $17,028,455 (puts)
Pure directional positioning suggests near-term bearish expectations.
Key Statistics: COIN
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | -45.94 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 10.86 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $-3.75 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | -7.55% |
| Net Margin | -15.72% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.28B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for COIN include:
- Crypto and blockchain-related stocks have been experiencing increased volatility amid regulatory concerns.
- COIN has seen significant options activity, with large call and put purchases.
- The company is awaiting key regulatory decisions that could impact its business operations.
These headlines suggest that COIN is facing a mix of technical and fundamental challenges, which could be influencing its current market position.
X/Twitter Sentiment (live xAI x_search, cited only):
| User | Post | Sentiment | Time | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBConRH | Bigger. Blacker. Coinier. $BBC / $BB / $COIN | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:08:22 GMT | https://x.com/BBConRH/status/2098186850016067617 |
| ambofqwan | 📢⚠️ Off-loaded all the CSP today ahead of the CPI announcement in the AM ~ all were $0.03 or less to close ~ WITH the exception of $COIN which was double the premium i received to close. I am going to \"risk-it-4-the-biscutt\" | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 22:55:58 GMT | https://x.com/ambofqwan/status/2098183729092972989 |
| TheOptionsBull2 | 2nd Coming 09/10/26 Unusual Options Alert: ... $COIN 5,700+ Sep'26 $175 Calls ... | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 22:35:45 GMT | https://x.com/TheOptionsBull2/status/2098178644879302767 |
| JoeFoxtyzm | I added to $ASST, $COIN & $CRCL I think $COIN & $CRCL have the potential to do 5X-10X over the next yr. | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 22:21:42 GMT | https://x.com/JoeFoxtyzm/status/2098175107998916886 |
| ist_mkt | Finish line talk again. G20 already shipped their version so Washington gets to look late and call it leadership. Bill passes and the tape shrugs in a week. Doesnt pass and $COIN trades the delay. Regulation is the product until flow shows up. $COIN $BTC | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 21:57:27 GMT | https://x.com/ist_mkt/status/2098169004640670024 |
One-sentence summary: X/Twitter posts discuss options activity, potential upside, and regulatory concerns for $COIN.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data:
- Total Revenue: $6,282,872,000
- Trailing EPS: -$3.75
- Trailing P/E: -45.94
- Price-to-Book: 10.86
- Debt-to-Equity: 0.45
- Return on Equity: -0.08
The company has a negative EPS and a high price-to-book ratio, indicating potential overvaluation concerns.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $174.77
Recent price action: The stock has been experiencing increased volatility, with a recent price range of $172.80 to $182.08.
Key support and resistance levels: $175.00 (50-day SMA), $165.04 (200-day SMA)
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends:
- 5-day SMA: $177.07
- 20-day SMA: $175.00
- 50-day SMA: $165.04
RSI (14): 44.39, indicating neutral momentum.
MACD: 4.60, with a bullish signal.
Bollinger Bands: The stock is currently trading near the middle band, indicating a neutral position.
30-day high/low: $195.85 (high), $139.11 (low)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish
Call vs Put dollar volume: $9,816,810 (calls) vs $17,028,455 (puts)
Pure directional positioning suggests near-term bearish expectations.
Key Price Levels (observational only):
Support: $175.00, $165.04
Resistance: $190.00, $195.85
25-Day Price Forecast:
COIN is projected for $168.22 to $183.15
Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock is expected to trade within this range.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, we recommend:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $175.00 call, sell $185.00 call (expires 10/16/26)
- Bear Put Spread: Buy $170.00 put, sell $160.00 put (expires 10/16/26)
- Iron Condor: Sell $180.00 call, buy $185.00 call, sell $165.00 put, buy $160.00 put (expires 10/16/26)
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: RSI divergence, MACD bearish signal
- Sentiment divergences: Bearish options flow vs bullish technicals
- Volatility: High ATR, increasing volatility
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Neutral
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: Monitor COIN for a breakout above $190.00 or a breakdown below $165.00.
View COIN Options Chain