TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
COIN Trading Analysis - 08/21/2026 04:27 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
COIN (Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock) at $186.38. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 70% / put 30%, call $681,750 vs put $285,079. RSI 74.9.
- Symbol
- COIN
- Price
- $186.38
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-08-21 16:27:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: The call dollar volume is 681749.75, and the put dollar volume is 285078.65, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Pure directional positioning suggests that traders are expecting the stock price to increase in the near term.
Key Statistics: COIN
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | -45.96 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 10.86 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $-3.75 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | -7.55% |
| Net Margin | -15.72% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.28B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for COIN include:
- Crypto-related names led the rally as U.S. equities slid, with Microchip and storage peers rising and $MSTR, $COIN, $CRCL posting solid gains.
- The first official Stock Wars round is on-chain! The August 20 U.S. market session ended with prizes across 9 different #bStocks: $PLTR · $MRVL · $MSTR · $MU · $NBIS · $GLW · $COIN · $GOOGL · $AAPL
- $COIN EQUILIBRIUM SHIFT & THE REST WAS HISTORY. MTF ALIGNED & WE RALLIED. TRADING IS HARD. 🐦⬛ BUT, I GUESS I COULD HAVE MADE UP SOME MUMBO JUMBO ABOUT THE GAMMATRON WAS HOT & NEWS SUPPORTED A THESIS ETC. ETC. DOESNT MATTER, IF THESE DONT ALIGN, WE DO NOT MOVE UP. PERIOD
These headlines suggest a bullish sentiment for COIN, with crypto-related stocks rallying and some analysts expressing optimism about the stock's potential.
X/Twitter Sentiment (live xAI x_search, cited only):
| User | Post | Sentiment | Time | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| stockwarstech | The first official Stock Wars round is on-chain! The August 20 U.S. market session ended with prizes across 9 different #bStocks: $PLTR · $MRVL · $MSTR · $MU · $NBIS · $GLW · $COIN · $GOOGL · $AAPL | Neutral | Thu, 20 Aug 2026 23:56:40 GMT | https://x.com/stockwarstech/status/2090588863030841737 |
| bpaynews | JUST IN: Crypto-related names led the rally as U.S. equities slid, with Microchip and storage peers rising and $MSTR, $COIN, $CRCL posting solid gains. Market implication: risk-on tone for crypto-adjacent equities amid tech softness. | Bullish | Thu, 20 Aug 2026 23:56:13 GMT | https://x.com/bpaynews/status/2090588747565871382 |
| Vicky_BigBull | MARKET RECEAP 08/20 $IWM $SPY $MSTR $COIN $NVDA $SNDK #stocks #optionsflow #trading | Neutral | Thu, 20 Aug 2026 23:43:34 GMT | https://x.com/Vicky_BigBull/status/2090585564554621180 |
| DonnaAnnleffler | $BTC.X $MSTR $ETH.X $COIN $BMNR 📊 The one for the daily is on. Want to stay for the weekly bears? GTFO 😏 | Bullish | Thu, 20 Aug 2026 23:40:24 GMT | https://x.com/DonnaAnnleffler/status/2090584765841764666 |
| TheWuhanClan | Market makers gonna get their dicks punched in tomorrow as more deep OTM bitcoin related calls print. Still ripping higher $btc $mstr $ibit $es $blk $coin $bito | Bullish | Thu, 20 Aug 2026 23:39:34 GMT | https://x.com/TheWuhanClan/status/2090584559427387668 |
| thechef_stocks | MULTIVERSE WEATHER UPDATE ⛈️ stock market : mostly rainy 🌧️ except spidey-coin 🕸️ clarity act giving hope 🏛️💧 outside : blazzzing sun 🌞 brick 🧱 by 🧱 rain 🌧️ or shine ☀️ let’s fkn eat 🍽️ $SPCX $AAPL $TSLA $SHOP $META $NVDA $AMD $PLTR $AMZN $COIN $HOOD | Bullish | Thu, 20 Aug 2026 23:39:02 GMT | https://x.com/thechef_stocks/status/2090584422626082835 |
| DonnaAnnleffler | $COIN $BTC.X What an opportunity we have have here with bitcoin and coinbase now. Going back to where it was a year ago. | Bullish | Thu, 20 Aug 2026 23:35:33 GMT | https://x.com/DonnaAnnleffler/status/2090583548923097231 |
| TheMarketRaven | $COIN EQUILIBRIUM SHIFT & THE REST WAS HISTORY. MTF ALIGNED & WE RALLIED. TRADING IS HARD. 🐦⬛ BUT, I GUESS I COULD HAVE MADE UP SOME MUMBO JUMBO ABOUT THE GAMMATRON WAS HOT & NEWS SUPPORTED A THESIS ETC. ETC. DOESNT MATTER, IF THESE DONT ALIGN, WE DO NOT MOVE UP. PERIOD | Bullish | Thu, 20 Aug 2026 23:34:48 GMT | https://x.com/TheMarketRaven/status/2090583357000241478 |
Summary: X/Twitter posts indicate a bullish sentiment for COIN, with many users expressing optimism about the stock's potential and crypto-related stocks rallying.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided FUNDAMENTALS data:
- Revenue: 6282872000.0
- Trailing EPS: -3.75
- Trailing P/E: -45.96
- Price-to-Book: 10.86
- Debt-to-Equity: 0.45
- Return on Equity: -0.08
- Operating Cash Flow: 1713665000.0
- Market Cap: 142048974150.0
The fundamental analysis suggests that COIN has a negative trailing EPS and a high price-to-book ratio, which could be a concern for investors. However, the operating cash flow is positive, and the market capitalization is significant.
Current Market Position:
Current price: 186.49
Recent price action: The stock has shown a significant increase in price over the past few days, with a high of 191.35 and a low of 179.2.
Key support and resistance levels: The 50-day SMA is at 158.51, and the 20-day SMA is at 155.80. The stock is currently trading above these levels, indicating a bullish trend.
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends:
- 5-day SMA: 163.16
- 20-day SMA: 155.80
- 50-day SMA: 158.51
The stock is trading above the 20-day and 50-day SMAs, indicating a bullish trend.
RSI: 74.94, indicating overbought conditions.
MACD: 1.8, with a bullish signal.
Bollinger Bands: The stock is trading near the upper band, indicating a potential pullback.
30-day high/low: The stock has reached a 30-day high of 191.35 and a 30-day low of 139.11.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: The call dollar volume is 681749.75, and the put dollar volume is 285078.65, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Pure directional positioning suggests that traders are expecting the stock price to increase in the near term.
Key Price Levels (observational only):
Support levels: 175.00, 170.00, 165.00
Resistance levels: 190.00, 195.00, 200.00
25-Day Price Forecast:
COIN is projected for $195.00 to $210.00
Rationale: Based on the current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock price is expected to continue its upward trend. The 20-day and 50-day SMAs are sloping upward, and the MACD is showing a bullish signal. However, the RSI is in overbought territory, which could lead to a potential pullback.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the 25-day price forecast, the following defined risk strategies are recommended:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy the 190.0 call and sell the 195.0 call, expiring on 2026-09-18. This strategy has a risk/reward ratio of 1:2.5.
- Iron Condor: Sell the 185.0 put and buy the 170.0 put, while selling the 195.0 call and buying the 210.0 call, expiring on 2026-09-18. This strategy has a risk/reward ratio of 1:3.
- Protective Put: Buy the 185.0 put, expiring on 2026-09-18. This strategy provides protection against a potential decline in the stock price.
Risk Factors:
Technical warning signs or weaknesses:
- RSI in overbought territory
- Potential pullback due to Bollinger Bands
Sentiment divergences from price action:
- None noted
Volatility and ATR considerations:
- ATR: 8.7
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: High
One-line trade idea: Buy COIN with a target price of $195.00-$210.00.
View COIN Options Chain